Looking back at the typical 4-year cycle, which includes 2014, 2018, 2022, and now 2026, it's clear we’re in a downtrend and accumulation phase. I made a solid decision at the end of 2025 to sell off my whole crypto portfolio and switch to stablecoins. The plan is clear: watch the market closely and wait until 2027 to jump back in with a systematic DCA and RDCA approach.
Now that we’re past the halfway mark of 2026, the market is still testing investor patience. Just recently, we saw BTC bounce back to around 80K USD in May, only to take a nosedive back to the 60K USD range where it’s stuck now.
On top of the price swings, the media is all over the place with sensational stories. Major funds like Strategy are liquidating BTC only to buy back soon after, plus there are reports of BTC dropping out of the top 10 global assets. These mental games really put pressure on everyone involved. You’ve got stablecoin holders getting jittery, worried about missing the very bottom, while BTC holders might panic and sell at a loss to keep their funds safe.
Through all this chaos, I’m sticking to my all-stablecoin position instead of rushing to buy BTC. The reasoning is simple:
2026 is more than halfway through, are you still in stablecoins?
19 replies 216 views
Yes, i'm using stablecoin as a savior to my funds when it comes to the bearish trend like this. There's no safest way other than holding stable coin when bitcoin is down, alt is down and gold is down.
It must be around 45k - 55k range.
Put majority of money into the blue chip crypto, and put some to the low mcap alts.
d1amondhandsMember
Posts: 5 · Reputation: 112
#3Jul 6, 2019, 12:43 AM
Your commitment is good with a little patience rather than rushing to accumulate when the price of bitcoin is still unclear at its lowest point.
I hold stablecoins because it happens to be fiat inflation in my country that requires choosing to hold stablecoins for a while, it also gives me an advantage and while monitoring the movement of bitcoin until it finds the ideal point for accumulation. I am still waiting for the bitcoin price towards the end of the year as it usually gives a clear answer.
At the very beginning of the year, I made the decision to leave my asset in Bitcoin no matter what the market conditions were.
We know so many Investors would have been caught in a point where they have to make good decisions, whether to sell off their coins to avoid losing. But moving to a stable coin shouldn't be the last option.
Price did drop to a very low pricing level this year, but we still hope that indeed we will attain higher levels before the year runs out.my plan is to hold, I have no plans for my investments as at now, so I'm not bothering over what the market does.
Right now, it is sensible to be in stablecoins, only if you did it earlier, if you are still in crypto and not got out. I would say that the smarter way to move forward would be DCA and buy some more.
That way, even fi it goes down more, you will keep on buying and lower your average and eventually that will help you out a lot. That is why I would not suggest moving to fiat today, if you did it already, like when it was higher, that's good, but if you haven't already, then find some more cash injection and get some more.
This is the first season for me to hold Bitcoin no matter the storm it is experiencing, I made the mistake of converting every of my earned Bitcoin to stable untill I spent all of the stablecoin for my survival because it is easy to spend. When Bitcoin started rising from $60k to $126k , I was no longer be part of it. It hurts me but I let it go.
Because of the hard lesson in the previous bull season, I promise myself to hold Bitcoin despite any market conditions, afterall, the 4 year cycle isn't much enough, within few times, the revolution will be completed, just been patient with it and accumulating more whenever I can.
Hearing chatter about how the AI bubble might actually bust for a bit with SpaceX + Anthropic + OpenAI IPOs about to drain what's left of the remaining liquidity we have for the year. I think it's important to be mindful and not go all in on bitcoin or any altcoin for that matter at this time because when the red that's coming, All of crypto including Bitcoin will feel the pain even though we haven't been part pf the stocks market and tradfi market rallies that have happened in the last 6 months, it doesn't mean we won't be part of the red.
Why is holding stablecoins only alternative to cryptos? Why not commodities or stocks which are doing just fine and could actually help your bags. I don't get why some slowly inflating stablecoin would be a choice. And even if it was, i would rather keep it in real fiat money and not in some meta-money that could drop instantly in value if company behind it gets hacked or something.
Personal absolute bottom target for bitcoin has been around $45k, but i wouldn't wait it to get there, as many others are as well, so there could be appearing some heavy buy walls before that.
Well, currently holding them on stablecoin, there's no clear uptrend yet as you can see in your own chart; it builds another lower high and lower low beyond the $60k that looks like a liquidity grab, but still consider that the sellers want to go much further. So this wave is not finished yet; there might be another wave coming soon while retail traders are accumulating during this time. That is why in the short term the price is increasing, but this might be a trap, and later the price will spike to the bottom again.
Actually, we have similar perspectives; next year is actually my target year for recovery, not this year.
ledger_gweiFull Member
Posts: 35 · Reputation: 320
#10Jul 6, 2019, 05:38 PM
Still holding some stablecoins, I'm waiting for the right time to buy and it seems the time is near. Right now almost all of altcoins are in their all time low, however I'm not interested to buy because majority of them gonna die with zero trading volume.
I will be waiting until the market become clear enough to buy the remaining good altcoins, until then it's game of waiting.
Actually on the other hand, the price of bitcoin right now is very interesting and a good time for accumulation to start if you are preparing for the next bullrun to create another profit from the next bullrun to come.
1. I've already done it. I've sold all of my assets including Bitcoin and converted it into stablecoins. I sold some of them though for personal reasons, but I've kept some of it to use to accumulate more Bitcoin during the bear market.
2. I'm thinking $50,000, but I have these "If-Else" conditions just like in programming where if Bitcoin doesn't reach X price in this month then I'll be going to Plan B. That lessens my risk in my part I think.
3. Just focusing on DCA. I think right now, that's the safest and best kind of strategy that I can use. Aside from that, I'll be putting some of my own money as well to buy some coins that I want to hold for the long term.
If there's somebody here who wants to accumulate Bitcoin and other altcoins for the upcoming bull run, I think this is a great time to do it. Not financial advice, but if you will ask many here, they'll be doing the same. I mean you don't buy when the market is already at it's peak, right? You buy when the market is at it's bottom so you can make higher returns.
Somehow I find relevance on your opinion here, since that short bounce happening on the market could really be a trap and sometimes current situation still give signals that those people sell their coins still in control.
The short term rise maybe got trigger for some positive news happening, but if there's more certain good or either bad news maybe we could get a hint on what will be the next move of the market. But also same as you at this point I don't have any expectation to see any huge recovery will happen for this year. But maybe we could feel that or see that situation to happen next year.
silentfarmMember
Posts: 1 · Reputation: 119
#13Jul 7, 2019, 09:07 AM
I don't like when I wait for the market before I buy, it is going to be boring seeing market going down while you missed done opportunities just like the way the market tough sub $59k levels. You can buy small portion of Bitcoin depending on how convenient it will be for you and how much you have at that particular time. Some people buy Bitcoin monthly, that's what they have been doing averaging their cost and they have accumulated more than enough.
One good things about this DCA is that you are not going to be left behind in term of everything around Bitcoin. If the price drop, you will get some Bitcoin and when the price pump, you will make some profit on every buy you have made and if there are some coins you have bought before which have dip below the buy price, it would have given you some profits, so in average you will be at the profiting side instead of waiting for the market to stabilize before you buy.
I have that in my mind but cannot do it anymore.
I've got my assets intact to each of the cryptos where I am holding them originally. And what I can do right now is to buy directly with fiat if ever I have some spare money to do it.
But it's actually giving us more flexibility when we have stable coins to buy when some sudden dip comes.
Stablecoins is good for you to do DCA, you keep it at USDT and then small by small, anytime bitcoin price goes down by 5%, you buy some. Keep doing that until it recovers and you are going to make a good profit. Of course many of us do not have the money to do this, as a strategy I guarantee you that if you start doing it now, you will profit in a few years, like in 2 years or so you will profit and in 3 years it will peak.
But I can't do it because I do not have the budget for it. I can see plenty of people who can throw in a thousand dollars anytime it goes down 5%, doesn't matter how it recovers. Meaning, if it reaches 60k, you buy a thousand dollars, and if it goes to 70k and goes back to 65k, you still buy a thousand dollars even though it's higher. Just buy whenever it goes down 5% and do that for 2-3 years and you will be in big profit.
ledger_gweiFull Member
Posts: 35 · Reputation: 320
#16Jul 7, 2019, 05:55 PM
DCA is really great and proven way for people to make profit for these past few cycles, however I just like to find the best time to hold. The reason why I do that is because beside converting my crypto to stablecoin, I also staked it elsewhere, the APY is not much but good enough while I'm waiting for the right time to get in.
So, there is no rush for me personally to buy Bitcoin, I also like to see breakout confirmation as well on the bottom because I want maximum profit for the next cycle without waiting too long.
Just be careful if you are holding stable coins if you are from EU specially that they Micah as all other crypto exchanges are scrambling to make their exchanges compliant to this EU framework.
And we all have heard of stable coins de-pegging or even being frozen too. Of course we sometimes used it to hedge our Bitcoin when the price is falling to stop the bleeding, but still we need to be very careful of long term hold.
A dramatic headlines regarding major funds buying and selling. That exact scenario occurred earlier this month when Michael Saylor's Strategy filed an SEC Form 8-K showing they sold 32 BTC for $2.5 million to fund mandatory distributions on their perpetual preferred stock.
The headlines you mentioned about fund liquidations are a perfect example of market manipulation. When Strategy filed their SEC paperwork showing they sold a tiny 32 BTC to cover preferred stock dividends, the media spun it as a systemic disaster, triggering a retail panic. The fact that Saylor turned around days later and bought 1,550 BTC at a discount was completely ignored by the bears.
The easiest one and that's to buy more bitcoin if I can.
A lot of them did in the past and that's why be picky with the stable coins if ever someone is planning to save their wealth in it for now. And they're going to wait until the price of bitcoin goes a little bit lower. Choose the reliable ones and very liquid.[/list]
Hmm you mean bitcoin fell over 50% of its Ath from $126,000 high to $60,000 down and you still maintained your position of holding the stable coin at 100% without opening a single positions to hold bitcoin?
And there you're expecting to step into to the market in 2027?
And you never felt the Fomo on buying on the current low? So what'd you do if we don't see the bottom again with how the price movement isn't proving what particular direction we're heading?
Maybe you should continue to hold your stable coin til the next 4 years after this cycle phase is closed.
If I were you I'd had entered the market gradually on Dca and I'm sure by now you'd be on a better track instead of depending on the uncertainty at 2027.
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