Anyone actually hit a block solo mining?

I've noticed that solo mining is getting some hype again with the new gear from Bitaxe and others, but I'm curious about the actual chances of making a profit. If anyone here in a western country is using those machines or anything similar, how do the costs stack up? I mean, electricity prices, maintenance expenses (like how often do you need to change out fans, cables, PCB boards, or whatever), and the fact that you probably need multiple Bitaxe units to have a shot at it. Has anyone had any luck? Also, can anyone share which models are the best for trying out solo mining? I've always thought about giving it a go, and I might have some access to cheap electricity, but I want to crunch the numbers to see if it’s actually worth it.

You need to run what numbers exactly? What is the cost of that cheap electricity you are talking about? $/kw? Some lucky people find blocks here and then but that’s a very rare occurrence. You may run your miner 10 years straight and probably won’t find a block. Also your device will lose its efficiency as there are newer and more efficient miners coming to the market so your chances of finding a block will always get less and less every day. If you only want to try your luck, cool go ahead but you can also play a dice game at your favorite online casino and save yourself from a lot of headache.

okay it is a 1th miner. with zero cost for miner and zero cost for power it earns 4.5 cents a day on a standard pool like viabtc. that is about 16 dollars in a year. since a block is about 280,000 bucks it would take you about 17000 years to hit a block. you could mine bch which is about 1000 dollars so if you point to a bch solo pool it takes about 60 years to hit a block of that.

If you talking about BitAxe someone already win a block last year announced by -cK look at his post below: It means any small miner like BitAxe still has a chance to win a block with 3.125BTC reward. And the best part is it consumes low power, around 17W I don't know if it can hurt your budget in my country if I run this 24 hours in 30 days, the bill is around $2. It doesn't consume much. Having more than 5 of these isn't a good idea; it also increases power consumption. So for me since this is only for the lottery, having only 2 or 3 is fine.

You can start by visiting https://solochance.org/ and enter hashrate of mining device you're interested in. Since you don't mention your budget and electricity capability, how about one of Antminer S21 XP variant? Those ASIC have very good efficiency (in terms of J/TH and $/TH).

I don't want to smash anyone dreams but you will not hit a btc block with nerdhash or axe. Not with current network hashrate. Honestly it's just throwing away money and the devices are useless for anything else. You have bigger chance a lightning will hit your house and it will burn to the ground than  hitting a block with one of these small hashrate devices (toys). People like delusion but this is the harsh truth.  And for all those who say "but you can try mining and educate yourself how it works" i can only say you can do the same with any PC without spending money.

Yes, many here have found blocks while solomining. You forgot to ask the important question......when did it happen? Does what happened in 2010 2011 2012 really matter today? No How about 2022 2023 2024? That is the question. -Dave

yeah been a while. maybe 2020 was the last one.

I did hit a block on CK's pool with a GekkoScience Compac F USB miner back in 2022! Back when the network difficulty was 26.6T It only takes a single chip and a ton of luck...

I can recommend you a universal miner that does not require electricity costs. With it you have a better chance of finding an old treasure than a block in solo mining with a small hashrate.

with 480TH if he is lucky it would be <30 years, if unlucky it is very normal to double the time (27% chance of that happening)  roughly the same chance of finding a block in 10 years instead). again, this does not take anything else into consideration, just a miner sitting in a vacuum.

With so many terahashes flying around, would a fast internet connection be of any help, or an average speed one will do just as well, since everyone has the block that is being worked on? I looked up a recent block, it had 18 leading zeroes in the hash that solved it.  18.  The chances of making a hash that fits that criteria are very low.

Your internet connection has nothing to do with your chance of finding a block, however, finding and actually winning a block are two different things, of you have high latency to other nodes (especially pools' nodes) it will increase your chance of orphan blocks, but to be on the safe side, you do not need a super fast Internet or anything like that, just a steady connection and better yet use a pool that knows how to propagate blocks in time.

You won't hit a block without at,least 1ph That would be four s21xps which cost 7000 each. Or 28000 total And the odds of hitting that block even with 1ph are still very high.  About 1 per 16 years.

Still even at 1TH/s the odds are better than playing the lottery. 1TH With todays diff : 1 in 6,109,236 per day The odds of winning the UK's national lottery : 1 in 45,057,474 per game There's a reason solo mining also has the alternate name of lottery mining.

If you win the lottery, the tax will be from 10 to 45% depending on the country. In mining, taxes are 0% in my country. I won't tell anyone about this

But you can earn small pieces of a block? I don't remember. I mined altcoins like 10 years ago. Now that you mention it, yes I think with pools, you didn't need to fill the entire block and you got a gain? or you were still joining forces but still the block only goes to one party and not split? I don't even know how mining works since after I had some fun mining dogecoins back then I got tired of it, but only recently I saw some interest again due Bitaxe. I need to study this more. If you can get fractions, how much would it take to get like 2k a month in profit?

you are not going to do that. You need a ton of cheap power the best btc miner is a s21xp it is like 270 bit axe miners it cost 7000 usd and you need to burn 85 k watts a day it makes about .048 x 270 = $12.96 with out the power cost that is 390 a month so five earn 2000 a month but you have the power cost and buying 5 of them is over 34000 upfront.

Lottery winnings in the UK are exempt from tax. i.e. ZERO Tax.

True, the UK already has too many taxes on "luck"!