Has the 4-Year Cycle Theory Finally Gone Out the Window?

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ben.blockNewbie
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#1Jun 30, 2026, 08:08 AM
Been lurking and noticed some chatter about the 4-year cycle. It used to be straightforward, right? Halving happens, we hit a new peak in about a year, then bam, 70-80% crash. We saw this in 2013, 2017, and a bit in 2021. But now? It feels different. Last October we peaked around $126K, which fits the old pattern. But this drop we’ve seen feels off. Like, nothing really broke. No exchange failures, no stablecoins crashing, just... a weird vibe.
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