Just to clarify, I'm not literally hacking it. I'm a hacker, sure, but hacking Bitcoin itself is a whole other story...
Still, this post kinda feels like I'm exploiting Bitcoin. 🔥 Anyway, I’m here to share a theory that’s been on my mind. We’ll see if it holds up or falls apart with time.
First off, a shoutout to all my crypto buddies out there!
So here’s what I’ve noticed: Bitcoin seems to follow a certain repeating cycle since it started. If history has a way of repeating, we might be in for an endless loop here. Let’s break this down:
The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle
Phase 1: The Green Phase The Bull Run
Right after every Bitcoin Halving, we jump into a strong bullish phase that usually lasts about 450 to 550 days. During this time, the price typically hits a new all-time high.
Phase 2: The Red Phase The Crash & Correction
After that comes the correction phase, where the market deals with inflation. This not-so-fun period usually lasts around 350 to 400 days, making for roughly a year and a half of decline.
Phase 3: The Uncolored Phase The Recovery
Then Bitcoin makes a bit of a comeback, getting back to its previous peak. This recovery phase tends to last around 500 to 600 days.
And what happens next? A new halving resets the cycle.
🚀 New all-time high → Correction → Recovery → Repeat 🚀
Will This Cycle Go On Forever?
Possibly. At least until 2140, which is when we hit Bitcoin’s last halving.
But Here’s the Catch...
The kicker? Bitcoin’s growth rate is actually slowing down.
Let’s take a little stroll through history:
First Halving → BTC rocketed up by 9,000%!
Second Halving → A still impressive 3,000% gain.
Third Halving → A more modest 700% increase.
I HACKED BITCOIN!
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Well, since your account is here since 2020, if you would have been spending a bit of time actually reading here and there, you would have been noticing that we are talking about the 4 years cycle for quite some time (actually for more than 5 years)
So the bad news is that this is - by far - not new at all.
And the good news is that at least now you know more.
Another thrilling piece of good newsmore new members are about to know more.
I'm more interested in what percentage increase Bitcoin has done this circle or it's doing in comparison with the last ATH in 2021. From my own research, and which has been corroborated with your comment above, Bitcoin is yet to do a double of its last circle ATH. That's where your 80% comes in. A double would be 100% and that should be around $136k+. My speculation is that Bitcoin would do at lease a 3X of its last peak price in 2021. That should be taking us to $200k+. If all things go well, I believe it's going to be more than that with all the fundamentals and support this industry is getting now. So, that's why I'm not perturbed each time the market goes down. I just know that we aren't yet in the bear season.
I agree, let's wait and see what happen in the next 3 or 5 months Hopefully new ATH. Thanks mate
There are speculations that tell that on October 2025, that's pretty much when we'll see the ATH. But if the pattern follows and if history repeats itself.
You're right with this decoding that there's historical pattern that happens and this 4-year cycle has been so accurate and this is the year when we should see another ATH, higher than the $108k-$109k that we've seen.
I like what you said, and you're right that this is nothing new to us, but at least admit that as a hacker like that, they really can't hack Bitcoin. This is also because it's really one of the features of bitcoin as a whole and we all knew that.
And we also know that there will be more communities that believe in bitcoin and even in the future that awaits us, honestly.
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