alex.shardLegendary
Posts: 1019 · Reputation: 5623
#1Sep 27, 2025, 04:26 AM
Hey everyone,
Hope you’re all good!
So, as the title suggests, I’ve been working on a new trading software. Took me over a month of relentless coding and refinement.
I aimed to discover structural alpha, but not just for one specific asset. I wanted something broader, something that could be applied to any crypto coin and I think I’ve achieved that. This alpha seems to tie into leverage and liquidation cascades, though I’m not 100% certain. One of the things I’m hoping for is that this could potentially boost market liquidity and help mitigate those chaotic liquidation events if that’s indeed the cause.
At this point, I have a model that I trust for FARTCOIN. I started with data from Bybit since they lead this coin. Right now, I’m in the process of downloading Binance data to create models for assets where Binance takes the lead. If you fiddle with models for different coins, you’ll see that some strategy parameters tend to overlap quite a bit this is actually what you want if you're trading on a structural, market-wide level.
The program works with gradient boosting using DART (this turned out to be the best for order book features). It looks at various features, employing normalized technical analysis just for context, making the model price-agnostic. I’ve developed microstructure and Level 2 order book features along with broader context features to help it adapt to various market conditions (inventory + context). My main focus was on making it robust enough to handle shifts in market regimes even under extreme circumstances.
Currently, the model is performing well. I’ve rolled out live strategies with actual money, and the results have been consistent with the backtests. However, I haven’t fully put the latest models through their paces in live execution yet (since I’ve added more complexity).