Could this be a positive sign for Bitcoin?

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sigma_satoshiFull Member
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#1Jun 26, 2022, 08:32 AM
So the SEC is taking crypto off their risk priority list for 2026. CZ mentioned this on his X account and thinks it's a bullish indicator. We still have a good number of months left this year before we might hit the actual bottom since we'll probably see some bearish vibes right after the recent bull run. Honestly, I'm a bit skeptical about a supercycle happening this year. That seems more likely to be a 2025 thing. The more people hype up the supercycle, the more it feels like the opposite could actually happen. But hey, if it does happen, we could be in for a long party.
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max.satMember
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#2Jun 26, 2022, 12:19 PM
It’s good news but I doubt the market will suddenly turn bullish in 2026. There’s still a lot of negative news circulating in the media wars, wallet hacks, the possibility of a recession this year, etc. All of this pushes liquidity toward safer assets instead of risk assets. I agree that seeing an opposite move is often more probable, because the market doesn’t always give us what we expect and sometimes it's happened and that's the reality. Right now, many people are confused about where the market is actually heading. The 2025 yearly candle closing red has led to speculation that the 4 year cycle might be over and now CZ talking about a “supercycle” only adds more confusion. But for those who are holding for the long term, all of these posts and news are just noise.
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cobra2013Senior Member
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#3Jun 26, 2022, 01:36 PM
That's how a super cycle is made--everybody talks about it as if it's a thing. Whether that's likely or not doesn't matter. Influencers have got to influence. That's precisely why they're around: to create hype, build confidence, convince investors, and the like. So, they just have to repeat it over and over again until it becomes true. I think I've already read about this news months ago but, yeah, it's one of the good things happening in 2026. So, indeed, a super cycle might be coming this year.
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bit2017Senior Member
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#4Jun 26, 2022, 03:21 PM
SEC taking crypto off 2026 risk priorities isn’t a pump trigger, but it does mean less regulatory overhang. That lowers downside risk, even if price chops
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lonewhaleSenior Member
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#5Jun 26, 2022, 03:31 PM
Although this rule softening and new ETF money coming in of $1.2 billion to start year feel very positive, your doubt of idea of supercycle is very smart, particularly after 2025 of huge records and many experts thinking that 2026 would be cooling off time and possibly even drop towards market bottom. To my mind, stay away approach of SEC is not going to stop the natural fall of price, as pattern has reached its peak, and this news is even trap or fake bubble that will trick short term traders just before market enters more steady but, perhaps, slower high. I totally agree with fact that more talk on supercycle higher chances that opposite will be felt. General people are known in past to be leaving Smart Money when they are sure that only upwards move in prices will continue. Even though fact that SEC shifted to look at AI and data privacy is great in long term growth view, it does not mean that we cannot see 2026 drop.
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SilentBullFull Member
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#6Jun 26, 2022, 08:35 PM
We should be happy if super cycling really happens, even though influencers or people who have the power to influence the market through their posts are used to saying positive or negative things because their goal is always to influence the market based on what they want to happen, so don't be too influenced, for us retailers it's enough to collect and sell if needed.
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matrix365Senior Member
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#7Jun 26, 2022, 08:47 PM
The super cycle is like a magnet for people who are new in this market and only look for short term profit as for experienced investors in this market, they know that they can get good profit by holding bitcoin for years and cycles without need of any super cycle existence. The super cycle might come or might not come, and it only comes if Bitcoin history changes, but if the history does not change there will be no super cycle for Bitcoin. If the super cycle does not come, history does not change, people who leveraged too much for their investments or tradings will have to face with loan expiration calls, loan interest repayment calls, trading liquidations. If saying I am not interested in super cycle possibility, it's my lie but with me the super cycle is not like a most important thing.
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tony2017Full Member
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#8Jun 26, 2022, 08:56 PM
I don’t think there’s anything special about that, it’s just how risk works. With how the US is already regulating the market, it’s normal for them to remove it, otherwise it just makes their regulations look ineffective. So I don’t really see it as a big factor that would trigger a bullish market. If the market does turn bullish, I wouldn’t assume this is the reason. CZ probably just doing some hype.
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miner2011Senior Member
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#9Jun 26, 2022, 10:43 PM
I totally get where you're coming from. That "wait-and-see" approach is actually a sign of a seasoned investor. In the crypto world, "hype" is everywhere, but until a project, a price target, or a regulation is set in stone, it’s all just speculation. Being cautious isn't being negative; it’s being realistic. Here’s why your perspective is very practical: and we can see this in as most of often as news vs volatility, and this has happened repeatedly here in this industry, isn't?
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sam_walletFull Member
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#10Jun 29, 2022, 07:40 AM
This news came out some months ago when SEC released their priorities for 2026, the influence of CZ is why it is trending now, he also made another bullish post just after this which suggests he is trying to create a bullish sentiment among traders. That alone is not enough to set off a super cycle or another upward surge. The news in itself is a positive one. Recent clamp down on crypto (Bitcoin really) has mostly been media narratives painting it in bad light. It will be a positive if there is none of that for a period of time.
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boss_wizardSenior Member
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#11Jun 29, 2022, 07:57 AM
Bullish or not, a good news is a good news. If this could turn around sentiment and causes people who have made good amount of money from investing in gold to invest in bitcoin because it's not in priority risk list anymore. Then, good. This should mean more potential for institutional investor to invest in bitcoin because of increased certainty and this indirectly means crypto is being considered as mainstream asset as it should be.
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quantumbearHero Member
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#12Jun 29, 2022, 10:13 AM
I do not think this is a bullish news for bitcoin, people should always know that bitcoin is different from altcoins. It will be good for SEC not to mislead people because cryptocurrencies are highly risky, only few of them like bitcoin most especially that are less risky and also a store of value. Most altcoins are not store of value and they are highly risky. But did you know that they did not had bad effect on bitcoin price? Bitcoin is now more than that.
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sage_2016Full Member
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#13Jun 29, 2022, 10:54 AM
I hope this is not one of the numerous pronouncements that have been made by Trump’s led administration which a number of individuals are still unsure of. Normally these kind of news is supposed to make us happy based on the discussion I’ve read from this thread now which every bitcoin users dream is to have a bullish market. CZ is already strong voice in the crypto space and I hope his guesses which he said is a sign of bullishness works in Favour of the bitcoin market this year
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eric_diamondFull Member
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#14Jun 29, 2022, 10:10 PM
Don't get me wrong, but what is the idea of a Bitcoin enthusiast of a super-cycle? We talked about super cycle and yet no one has a clear definition of it and what constitute that the 4 cycle is going to extend? Or the price continue to go up in 2026 wherein historically, it's 18 months bullish and 18 months bearish and then consolidation? Are we talking about the price still hitting at least $170k-$180k? Or just because that there is huge institutional adoption, like Black rock, Fidelity ,Vanguard and JP Morgan makes the 4 year cycle irrelevant? For me we should first defined what super-cycles and then maybe we debate whether this is a new trend for Bitcoin and that 4 year cycle no longer holds true.
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jake.chainSenior Member
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#15Jun 30, 2022, 03:08 AM
Rather than bullish in the short term, I believe this is good for the long term and the overall perception of crypto in the US which gives way to better opportunities for crypto investors and traders in the country. But I doubt this will make the price spike any time soon. US has been on the path of becoming more crypto friendly.
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t0ny.vectorSenior Member
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#16Jun 30, 2022, 04:31 AM
As we see the comments of every influential person on various social media, we can definitely expect a supercycle to happen in 2026. Most investors are very confident that there is a possibility of a major bullishness before the market goes into a decline this year and we expect it to happen. There is more optimism in 2026 than when the Bitcoin market entered a high in 2025. In that case, I think if the Bitcoin price supercycle happens again in 2026, it will definitely be great for Bitcoin. However, from my perspective, it seems that the Bitcoin market is likely to cool down just as it is expected to be bullish this year. If the market is bullish this year, many people are thinking that it will definitely go into a recession later.
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fullnodeSenior Member
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#17Jun 30, 2022, 08:03 AM
The SEC already decided long ago that Bitcoin wasn’t a security. Their role in regulating Bitcoin is mostly limited to approving ETFs and similar products, which even Gary Gensler saw as being fine. They are a bigger factor in altcoins, but is it really bullish that now people don’t have to worry about using DeFi products they were already going to use anyways? Weaker enforcement, for the time being, might take some pressure off developers and it’s also very convenient for the president, but it is only a temporary limitation on government overreach. Scammers, who are not the president, might also see this as a free pass to act with impunity.
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greg2021Member
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#18Jun 30, 2022, 05:45 PM
It's bullish news, but the market hardly reacts immediately, fingers crossed.
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the_stackFull Member
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#19Jun 30, 2022, 08:10 PM
If that might happen there's a chance that the bitcoin will surge again but of course there's a confirmation by this before it happens and if the community sees the use of the bitcoin as not a red flag for high risk there's a potential for the people to get trust again with the bitcoin, considering too for the institutions to use and support the bitcoin at the current state we can see another market liquidation news. But the cons is they dont have a control most of the third world country only support the use of the bitcoin yet.
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L0neDegenSenior Member
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#20Jun 30, 2022, 09:32 PM
Seen this news sweet me reasons been that no holder or investor that will see this kind of news that will not relax it's mind and beap up hope and confidence, no matter if the news come from influencers. Just that similar news of this nature has been around in the past without any significant changes. If this truely happens a lot short and long holder, who think the market will go to the bottom after the ATH experience on 2025 may likely regret if the market turn green above their speculation after selling off their holding.
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