Elliott Wave Predictions for 2025

Elliott Wave Predictions for 2025 So I’m taking a shot at predicting Bitcoin prices using the Elliott Wave theory, but just my personal take on it. I’ll be updating this about every two weeks or monthly, but just keep in mind this is mostly speculation. If you're curious, check out the earlier thread called 2024 Elliott Wave.

BTC/USD

ETH/USD

SOL/USD

MSTR

GOLD

DJIA 30

you show a ATH in late 2025 of $219k(3?) and then another ATH in 2026 of $379k(5?)..hmm seems your estimated timings are off i dont see a extra ATH happening in 2026(5?) as there were no ATH in pattern of 2022, 2018, 2014, the years 2022,2018,2014 were the low seasons. so 2026 would be a low, not a new ATH also i feel the $379k might be the top test of late 2025 ATH

I noticed a little error in the labelling because for the Elliot Wave principle to hold, one of the requirements is that wave 3 must not be the shortest wave. In the labelling, both wave 1 and the projected wave 5 of the primary wave are longer than motive wave 3 which invalidates the entire thing. This is the reason I don't believe that projection of an ATH of $379 in 2026. Maybe if the EW is recounted, then we will be able to see a different view and draw a different conclusion. It is increasingly becoming difficult to know what the ATH of this market cycle will be given the reluctance of the market to proceed despite that everything that would have added momentum to the market has already happened.

The projections are indicative of wave structure, not timings nor wave sizes.

Elliott Wave rule is third wave cannot be the shortest, unless in a Leading Diagonal or Ending Diagonal. Elliott Waves are measured in points not percentages; hence, no rule has been violated in the analysis. In commodity markets, fifth waves are occasionally the longest and extended; and appears to be the same for Bitcoin —who knows, could be $1M by 2030...?!

What if that was the cycle top?

Then it would imply a CYCLE-II bear market is underway, with perhaps a -80% to -90% decline. Probably unlikely because the current top was an Irregular B-wave, rather than an orthodox final fifth wave.

So down we go to $60k-ish?!

Guessing somewhere between $50K to $60K ought to be the bottom.

Unless you're mistaken about your irregular B wave ending at 60k. Of course, we've been waiting for many months to see if you're right or wrong. I'd say the idea of ​​the irregular flat  originated here, when you declared wave 1 complete: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5485551.msg64037630#msg64037630 When you finished that wave 1, you thought everything that came after would be wave 2.

Your bearish count was invalidated. Would you post a new one?

A daily/weekly close above the Fibonacci 2.618% extension (i.e. $114,000) would suggest the BULL scenario is underway...

You've spent a year insisting on the bearish scenario with the irregular flat. Finally, a year later, you have a bullish alternative count. What I don't understand is why, for a year now, you haven't considered both scenarios, bearish and bullish. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5485551.msg64106795#msg64106795

Have said since NOV/DEC 2024 that beyond $114,000 would suggest an elimination of the B-wave bearish scenarios... https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5485551.msg64799443#msg64799443