Exploring the connection between Crypto and QE

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ninja_ledgerFull Member
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#1Jan 8, 2018, 06:59 PM
I've been diving into some reading lately and it seems like the last real altseason was ages ago, like 4 years, thanks to QT (Quantitative Tightening) that we've been in for most of that time. QT kicked off in June 2022 and wrapped up in December last year. I’m no expert on this but I did a quick search, and it looks like crypto tends to struggle during QT periods because central banks reduce their balance sheets and pull liquidity out of the market. This puts a lot of pressure on riskier assets and trading volumes drop. Now that QT is finally done, QE (Quantitative Easing) is on the horizon and could start in the next few months for a few years. From what I’ve read, during QE periods, crypto usually benefits since massive liquidity gets pumped into the financial system, fiat currencies lose value, and investors are pushed towards riskier assets. Last time QE was on the table was from March 2020 to March 2022, and looking back, bitcoin and altcoins had a fantastic run during that period; bitcoin shot up from around $6k to $69k, and many altcoins saw incredible returns, some even hitting 20x or more. With QE possibly kicking off this year, there's a lot of hope that more liquidity will flow in as people look to invest in riskier assets like crypto again. So what do you all think? Is there really a solid connection between crypto and QE, or is there more to the story?
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probablynoth1ngFull Member
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#2Jan 8, 2018, 11:27 PM
When more money injected into the markets, that means there will be more money that is available to purchase bitcoin, which results with bitcoin price going up due to more buyers. But this is not automatic, sometimes even with QE, you are not going to get buyers, because bitcoin doesn't look profitable at times, since it's the bear market right now and we have gone down, it might be considered at one of those times. This results with not that much of that new injection going towards bitcoin, or just a short spike for a quick period.
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yield_moonFull Member
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#3Jan 9, 2018, 03:56 AM
Sustained, planned quantitative easing (QE) nearly always pushes Bitcoin higher because it increases the amount of money in the financial system. When more money is available people often look for assets that might protect them from inflation or offer better returns. Bitcoin is seen by many investors as a scarce asset so extra liquidity often flows into it. That’s why periods of QE have often been followed by rising Bitcoin prices.
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vault_alphaHero Member
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#4Jan 9, 2018, 09:12 AM
Quantitative Easing has always been beneficial to risk-on asset, of which Bitcoin/crypto belongs to this class. However, you need to know that it has started already, but not in full-scale. Perhaps the full scale program will be announced and actualised later. What you need to also know is that it is not a guaranteed help for crypto; I mean in the situation where it will change the tide completely, no.. Due to the falling effect of the USD index at that time, the crypto situation matters too. For this, it might reduce the falling (when it is falling) or help it rise more (when it is buying). Yet, the prevailing strength of the market sentiment will always win.
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ninja_ledgerFull Member
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#5Jan 10, 2018, 12:32 AM
Thanks for the replies. I only asked the question as those who are bullish and think we have bottomed already or very close to doing so believe this as with QE this year it will help boost the market and that bitcoin will see a new high in the next 6-12 months. I am not sure what to think, but will be interesting to see how the rest of 2026 plays out.
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SwiftOrbitSenior Member
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#6Jan 10, 2018, 03:26 AM
Who is expecting that? Warsh is like 8.5 on a scale to ten pro QT policies! Whoever expects cheap money from this guy just because Trump nominated him is delusional. https://www.axios.com/2026/05/20/warsh-federal-reserve-balance-sheet https://www.wisdomtree.com/us/insights/blog/warshs-reality-check-the-fed-balance-sheet He is not going to start a QE program before he reduces inflation, the guy is more at it than Powell and the last FED meeting should have made things clear, no way a rate drops comes next, the money is on rising it again, and that is no way the start of pumping money into the economy. Besides, unlike after the COVID era, there is no need for that, for QE to even start, you need: - recession (the US economy is outpacing G7) - deflation  (lol) - high unemployment (not the case) There will be no aggressive QE talk other than balancing before rates his 200 points at least!
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p1x3l365Senior Member
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#7Jan 10, 2018, 05:25 PM
I honestly don't have ideas about this your speculation linking with the QE, QT and bitcoin or the crypto market manipulation. I've also attempted to study the force that influences the alt market but to no avail and from what you've said, I want to believe the riskier assets you're referring is one of those that it's future potential values are practically gambling such as the alt coins that doesn't attain a hold of reliability from their histories? That's by the way, the so QE and the QT seem not to be linked to the bitcoin because analysis and its historical performances is convince able to believe that the halving event has a strong role playing in the bitcoin market making it a reliable structure to understand its market in the four years cycle.
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