ImThour's Bitcoin Forecast May 2025

Hey everyone, If you're just joining us, you should check out my last forecast for January 2025 to get the background: ImThour's BTC Forecast Jan 2025. In that previous post, I accurately predicted a small price drop when Bitcoin was sitting at around $93k on January 9, 2025, and that's exactly what went down in the months that followed. Now we're back above $100k. I really hope you all seized the opportunity during the last dip in this cycle. So, looking at the current situation: I’m still sticking with my long-term target of $170k that I set years ago. Link I've got my BTC from back when it was priced at $16k. The only instance I’d think about trading it is if Bitcoin drops below this support trend line on the Weekly chart. That’ll signal my exit, and I expect that’ll happen in 2025. From my perspective, we're in the final phase of the bull cycle, so keep a close watch on the weekly candle closes from here on out. While I still believe there's a solid chance it could hit $170k, it’s important to remember that external factors like wars can throw a wrench in the works. Catch you all next time with more updates, have fun!

I remember I predicted $170000 also since 2022. It was later that I saw your analyses but I also did not just arrived at $170000. But I changed my prediction some months ago when I saw how things were. I first changed to $150000 and later to $139000. I am thinking that bitcoi will between $139000 - $150000. It is just a speculation, I can be wrong.

True, it's a prediction and It doesn't have to be 100% correct. The fact we were able to speculate the right trends at the right time is what's important here. Let's see how it goes from here.

First let me give you an accolade for your long term holding without selling, I know there are older holders but that is not my concern. Sure that there had been some others who had bargained on this long term holding but based on some financial challenges or FOMO they are pushed to sell apparently going against their investment planes. You are doing just well. For the price speculations, I read those of your threads about Bitcoin price predictions which I sees your attempts to be timely(closed to the actual price) and untimely (far from the actual price). That is not really much though because in most cases we keep up coming with different market analysis but rarely had we been able to give a correct (predictable) or exact price. Nevertheless, it is worth keeping heads up to the market chart candles storming towards what the future may bring so cordially, we can discover a more better investment plans of when to buy and when to sell without regretting every single actions.

Sometimes we need to also pay attention to the market analysis for those who have the ability of understanding it for their investment if we truly want to predict the market right as it remains ever volatile. From the first illustration given on your chart, we can vividly see how the, market stylishly shows a double top and double bottom performance and if we are going by the interpretation of what these means, we already are having more ability for bullrun very soon which may leads to all time high, because the flow will not only stops at $105,000 but beyond going above $109,000 to another all time high sooner.

Your analysis is a good read and we'll never know of how high this cycle will be. But yes, just be ready wherever this cycle is going to bring us. We all want to see how high it can go but that also puts some attention that this could be the last leg of this bull run. Many are believing that we still have at least the 3rd quarter to the last month of this year until it ends. Although it's also a big factor that we've seen it broke former ATH last year which was unexpected. Or we can also use this as a basis that positive unexpected thing for this cycle might happen for reaching higher highs.

Not completely new to you, and I can always respect this kind of reasoning. Personally thought you'd be wrong, but it does look like a new ATH (and then onwards) is imminent. I've always said also that macros like war could just upend things but what's your take on the opposite of that? Nuclear aggressions averted so far in two parts of the world but a lot of simmering undercurrents in East and Southeast Asia (all under the news radar, mind you).

Great calling out, the ATH should happen by this year or its end, that's my take on it. Especially if there are no wars and tariffs turmoils like we saw previously..

There will still be declines, as well as chances to take advantage of them. The chances of catching a decline, I believe, are higher than an increase. There will be further cycles. And also, after the current growth, a decline will inevitably come. So, this is not something to grieve about. Let's hope you're a good fortune teller, because the figure of $170k looks very appetizing. If your forecast comes true, it will give a very good profit of x10. Your patience and endurance are worthy of praise. It is clear even without analysis that the growth will not last forever. And it seems to me that the growth in this cycle has been a bit delayed. I can assume that there will be no strong decline until the end of summer. But in the fall the market may turn around. The chances are increased by the "mad money printing machine" that will be started. So, $150-170k is quite achievable, probably.

You will enjoy the results of your patience and also believe that Bitcoin will reach your target price. I also targeted a price that was not far from yours but higher, namely $180k for Bitcoin's ATH this year before it started to go bearish, but looking at the movement over the past two months, I was quite pessimistic that it would be achieved, reaching a price of $150K is already good, and it needs a strong push for the trend to be even better for Bitcoin to rise.

We just don't need bad catalysts to shake up the broader markets, there is all to it.

I was surprised to read that the $170k price predictions you made on Bitcoin started in August 2023 when Bitcoin was down to $25k-$27k. Two years later, as you predicted, we are believed to see Bitcoin close to the amount($170k) you predicted 2 years back. Not everyone can make such a forecast it comes true. I respect you for that. I will be waiting for the next update from you. I believe it will be in the last quarter of the year

I have seen your post on prediction a couple of times and I can say you have been very great at the skillset. Despite that there is no 100% accuracy in these things, the rate at which you get it right is highly encouraging. Although, my expectation for the price of Bitcoin in this market cycle is higher than yours, I see price going as high as $200k before the end of this year. If the push we are seeing now is sustained in this second quarter of this year, then third quarter can do as much as 20% while the fourth quarter of this year can give 50% rise in price. A combination of these gains will give us the $200k before the end of the year.

Speculatively you both are right, to predict Bitcoin for $170k and we should not think that the time is short for us to achieve such a price, but then also in as much as we expect such positive Bitcoin market outcome, we shouldn't forget to put in place and consideration how possible it could for Bitcoin to go in the opposite of what you both have predicted, any ways at the moment, it may seems impossible to see a decline in the price of Bitcoin, but that is not an impossibility either, so we need to think both ways and weight our risks.

Although $170K is not a sure thing, but who knows at the end of the year something will affect the price so that it jumps past $150K, but the target can still be anticipated. But I always say $150K is quite a bullish ideal number this time many people also say so, it's just that we need to wait for time about the truth of the price in this cycle. Even if the price is more than $150K we are happy but it seems that $150K is already my target to sell some coins.

A little drop ?   a bit bigger then expected but I agree it was a good pullback and bullish overall.   Who can ever expect the future except that Bitcoin is always volatile especially when we think its calm, it soon will disprove that idle assumption.    Today was a miniature version of that, quite possible in its pullback potential as BTC price action was below 2 day and the weekly average but its recovered from that mid day dilemma and ending this daily candle in a bullish way.   Its only one day but its notable challenge and failure of that sell has to be taken as positive resolution, just have to look if the weekly candle can do the same and if so I got no choice but to be positive also in my outlook for BTC this month and going forward.

He's really THOuR the god of thunder and sky. And with that, skyrocketing to the sky and at the speed of lightning for the charts.   We don't see that many predictions as consistent as his because whenever the price is quite low, there won't be that much optimism on Bitcoin for that. But with his prediction, he's always giving those quite high prices and at first sigh,t many won't like his. But eventually, we're starting to see how Bitcoin goes and it's aligned to his analysis.

You're doing great. Great for being able to hold Bitcoin when the purchase price was $16k. Something that not everyone is able to do. I'm preparing to trade Bitcoin by watching the weekly movement and of course this is in anticipation of the latest Bitcoin price milestone. I think the $170k predicted as the new ATH is something I strongly support although $200k is not too far-fetched as a price prediction either.

Are you sure who the God of Thunder is?

👀 It will be a happy few months for the DCA investors, and if your projection is right, that it truly is the last phase of the bull cycle, the DIP investors will be waiting for the bear cycle. Is there some probability that it will be MORE than $170,000?