So, I came across this info on a post which says Iran is planning to stop enriching uranium in about two months.
Usually, uranium enrichment serves a bunch of purposes like research and stuff, but in Iran's case, it looks like it could be for nuclear weapons or to amp up their military capabilities on land, in the air, and at sea.
It’s interesting that they’re saying they’ll stop by the end of July instead of just doing it now. It kinda raises the question what's gonna happen between now and then? Seems a bit suspicious, right?
I think you make a mistake or you have been misinformed, Iran has not gotten to 90% uranium enrichment, the country is at 60% which beyond the enrichment needed for domestic purposes. Getting it to 60% only mean one thing, they are planning to make a nuclear weapon which is 90% enrichment. But as of now, the country has not gotten to 90% according to reports.
It is a strategy, they are fighting like they are not afraid. I think Trump is even afraid of the country as they said they may soon make a nuclear weapon if Trump is not careful. US Ohio-class ballistic missile submarine, identified as the USS Alaska (SSBN-732), showed in Gibraltar not long after.
They are doing it in a way US will not pressure them and also showing that they do not lose the fight to US.
Yes I meant to say would likely use it for that purpose but since you said this then It is quite interesting because with the right centrifuge Iran could be achieving 90% maybe in the time Frame of two months they gave themselves to end the uranium enrichment, regardless it will be detected and could cause another unrest and war from countries against them reaching that point.
PolyMarket is just a prediction platform, and the source you shared in this, you can also see that the chances are ony 36%, which tells us that it is nearly impossible that Iran will end its uranium enrichment program. Today, I was reading a piece of news that the US has attacked the Strait of Hormuz, and in response to that, the Iranian foreign minister said that they will also respond to the US's further attacks for their defense, and the US has violated the ceasefire agreement. Which I think is not a good thing, and the US betrays them here.
Aside from this, I don't think Iran will now stop enriching its uranium if the US keeps behaving this way. I think the US is pretending to behave as cleverly in this case, but patience and wisdom are much needed in this matter for the betterment of the international environment. As both of them conflict is pushing the whole world into the deep river of inflation. What do you think?
I don't think i typically have to Believe on anything about this ongoing war and their nuclear weapon enrichment, I even doubt if they will stop this because this has also been the main reason why the war linger to this stage and I don't think they have anything in mind to use as reason why they will stop it, if they wanted to do so, then now is the time and not in 2 months time to come.
Don't expect that much; the question shouldn't be when, but is it possible or not.
The main problem is, you forgot to insert a "?" at the end of the title. That's not news, it's a predictive event created on their platform. What Trump wants from Iran isn't to stop enriching uranium, but to hand it over to the US.
The agreement between the US and Iran regarding giving up its stockpile of highly enriched uranium or stopping further enrichment has not been reached. Iran has made it clear that it will not give up their nuclear project, while the US is insisting that it must be part of the deal. There has been no further information about that from either the US or Iran concerning ending the nuclear project. The process of disarming Iran will be a complex and long-term process.
Since it is just a Polymarket new prediction trade, I would disagree that Iran will completely end its nuclear program.
It is Iran that is proposing to end their uranium enrichment by the end of July, it is not the US or any collaborators that is saying they should end their uranium enrichment by the end of the month.
If Iran hand it over to the US will they still continue the uranium enrichment or end it, handing it over to the US doesnt mean much when they can end it totally.
There is no news that Iran is proposing to end its Uranium enrichment in the future. If you have any source, you could post it. Negotiations are still going on and there has been no news concerning the end of their nuclear project. The last deal the US had with Iran during the tenure of Barack Obama was to reduce its nuclear program in exchange for the lifting of economic sanctions. Some reports said Iran is proposing to cap enrichment at low levels for domestic use.
If Iran agrees to stop its enrichment program they will also agree to allow the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to conduct periodic rigorous inspection and verification of its entire nuclear project.
The source already on the link, if you care to know you click the link and do your research. In the post I said according to with a link, if you have a news that contradicts what polymarket have posted on their X handle you can post too.
In between this was just a news and following this us and Iran saga they have made statements that they both did not adhere to so this could just be an ordinary statement from Iran
The two month thing is not suspicious in the sense you're thinking of. This is the way it works. Negotiation can only function if both sides hold on to something of value. You hold what you have until you've secured what you want.
And OP kinda undersells what's actually going on here. It's not Iran waking up one morning and deciding to be nice. A negotiation is underway right now: Strait of Hormuz, blockades, frozen money, everything is entangled. The uranium part is only one piece and likely not the toughest to resolve.
Individuals are viewing these announcements as if the deal has been agreed upon. Nothing is signed. The US and Iran continue to back and forth by way of mediators, and both sides continue to contradict public statements. To the domestic media, Iran says one thing, at the table something else. This is not the first time. July, August, whenever. The date is less important than what is actually enforceable. At this moment, I'm not sure anyone involved can answer that one.
Polymarket is not saying that there is news about Iran agreeing to end enrichment of uranium by July 31. They are just asking a question, which is why you have a question mark at the end of the sentence. They simply want people to place bets to predict if it will happen or not. I checked the Polymarket platform, and this was the current information on the trade:
https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-july-31
This is not news, but a assumption designed for gambling.
Like have you said earlier uranium enrichment could be used for nuclear power plant the problem is after I saw youtube video the enrichment is working both ways for nuclear power plant and nuclear weapon at the same time is just need a little bit long for nuclear weapon.
In my opinion nuclear enrichment should be centralized at this point and no government can rule it. Or decentralized with proper audit so country like US dont interfere and dont make any price high like today
I think Iran is following North Korea's example. North Korea also faced a situation where it was threatened with war with the United States. However, it completely eliminated this threat by developing and testing nuclear weapons. After this event, all talk of regime change in North Korea immediately ceased. 🙋
Of course, I really dislike the political regime in North Korea. However, it must be recognized that no country in the world can feel secure without nuclear weapons. Recently, Donald Trump threatened war with Denmark and Canada... What about other countries?
Iran was recently attacked by Israel and the United States. You can criticize the ayatollah regime as much as you like, but it must be acknowledged that in this situation, Israel and the United States were the aggressors. Moreover, the country's political and military leadership was destroyed. Previously, such actions were unacceptable; leaders of states did not kill each other.
I think Iran rightly believes that possessing nuclear weapons will allow it to become, at the very least, a regional superpower. What can the US offer Iran? Even if China offers to guarantee a peace agreement, what will happen if the US or Israel violates it? Will China retaliate with a nuclear strike on Jerusalem or Washington? Of course not! In today's world, political guarantees are worthless. Only real action matters. 🤷
So now we are meant to trust a tweet by polymarket as an authoritative news source? Oh boy, I hope the presidents son in law is not heavily tied into this company and would stand to gain massively from influencing reporting on this development. Oh wait, he actually is. Please stop regurgitating any trash that trumps cronies feed to you, because off the back of all these new stories he is simply enriching himself whole none of it actually materialises. He is a failed business man who has fiddled his way into the absolutely bastion of power and is now trying to bank hard, regardless of how many Americans or other citizens of the world will suffer in the process. It's actually benefitting him to drag this war out as long as possible to bank off these swing trades.
One simple question: who exactly made this statement?
- Representatives of the IRGC military junta (who have always opposed this)
- The Rahbar. More precisely, the elusive Rahbar, whom no one has seen or heard, but who allegedly issues some kind of orders
- President Masoud Pezeshkian, who seems to exist and speaks quite sensibly, but... apparently has no real power
Hmm, I also think the same way, the chances are very low that Iran will hand over its enriched uranium to any other country, as Mojtaba Khamenei has given a statement or order that to ensure that the enriched uranium stays within the boundary of our country. Aside from this, for the betterment of the global environment, what Iran can do is that it will stop enriching its uranium further only if the US makes a perfect deal with Iran.
That benefits it and covers all the damages that Iran has faced in this war. And importantly, the US has to remove sanctions from Iran in international water treaty so that Iran can also trade its oil and other goods in the international water treaty in a smooth way. What do you think about it?
3 days ago there was some air about Iran giving up Uranium enrichment but after 1 day they denied it.
I honestly wouldn't believe until I see it myself but that prediction market above is literally just title of the prediction not really a news.
As for now, Iran is still weighing, giving no clarification about the matter so far.
I have also come to understand that trump usually love what would benefit their country, and he quickly come to an aid just to make sure the he has achieved his interest while controlling such nation and country.
Again stopping that in the next two months could be that suspicious because I do not see any reason to do that current as that has been existing for long now so, quitting is something else because that could likely affect their growth.
Are you sure this is the reason the war has lasted until now? So what guarantee is there that if Iran stop enriching uranium, the United States will stop invading them in the future?
Iran's uranium enrichment is a concern for Washington. However, I think this conflict is much deeper than that, and the main cause may be related to the dominance of the petrodollar. Iran has long sold its oil in currencies other than the USD, and that may be what United States truly cannot accept
Let's look back at history: the US accused Iraq of possessing weapons of mass destruction and used that as a pretext for attack. But then, they were unable to provide any convincing evidence that those weapons actually existed in Iraq
Its all just a pretext.