Is October a trap for bitcoin?

19 replies 490 views
tony69Senior Member
Posts: 287 · Reputation: 1054
#1Sep 19, 2023, 04:02 AM
Things looked pretty solid, right? September wrapped up with Bitcoin hovering around 66k, but then bam a big drop hits. I'm kinda wondering if this was just a trap. I thought we were gearing up for a rally, but now it feels like 60k could be our new low. Honestly, I'm still feeling positive about October though. It might just surprise us for the better.
4 Reply Quote Share
alex.shardLegendary
Posts: 1019 · Reputation: 5623
#2Sep 19, 2023, 08:45 AM
Because the first day of October was bearish, I saw some people everywhere saying October is a trap. It might be and it might not not be. But what I know is that the first day of the month can not be used to make conclusion that this month is not going to be good. Bitcoin fall to $52000 in September before increasing to $66400.
2 Reply Quote Share
tony_ninjaSenior Member
Posts: 139 · Reputation: 897
#3Sep 19, 2023, 02:51 PM
I believe it's more or less like a trap than anything else. The month of October might be more bullish than the month of September and there's chance that we might see Bitcoin touching or crossing $70k by the mid or end of October. But, there's also possibility to see Bitcoin going below $60k or even $55k if out of sudden a bad event takes place.
3 Reply Quote Share
tony69Senior Member
Posts: 287 · Reputation: 1054
#4Sep 19, 2023, 03:24 PM
Yes you are right though I need to also do my findings maybe I will have to download the bitcoin price history to know what comes of October. Of course it could be bull but there are of also factor that can determine the bull this month and, something like US election to the rightful hands who solely believe and give rise to bitcoin and if victorious then we can say we would see bitcoin creating new ATH this year.
3 Reply Quote Share
sat_2018Senior Member
Posts: 259 · Reputation: 834
#5Sep 19, 2023, 06:43 PM
Volatility will rise and people will get shaken out, that's my prediction for end of year.  It doesn't mean we must go down or stay down just the prices will be more spiky while its occurring.   So immediately there is a good chance of a bounce tomorrow as we have pulled back from 60k thus far but by end of week the selling could resume for a final downside target of 55k.   55k would match the lows of the last few months and be a testing point for the greater direction and confidence in Bitcoin.  The biggest players prefer only to enter on weakness such as this as it delivers the best prices for the Bitcoin they were always going to load up.  It makes sense the largest players like any other product purchase can demand the best prices to some extent, they don't chase the highs and we will have to observe how much they will enter the market on this possible negative test.  No easy direction, both sides of the box we've been in should be tested is my guess.
3 Reply Quote Share
raven1337Hero Member
Posts: 530 · Reputation: 3357
#6Sep 20, 2023, 12:44 AM
Welcome to the Downtober! A nice BTC sale to open the month after Iran sent hundreds of its missiles to Israel. That's a bad sentiment that has driven the price of bitcoin down. Bitcoin is just reacting to global news like every other asset does. The uptober narrative is something to distract some people. In fact, some of the biggest market crashes in history happened in October, too. It's also possible for bitcoin to turn trend around. Unless Middle Eastern people stop killing each other, the market will not boom.
3 Reply Quote Share
AtomicMaxiFull Member
Posts: 59 · Reputation: 262
#7Sep 20, 2023, 04:19 AM
Yes, I saw some people posting about a trap earlier this month. I wouldn't assume it's a trap, although some people might panic because of the sudden drop. that's normal. the drop in bitcoin price is still within acceptable limits. last month's close was pretty good and now there's a small correction, I don't think it'll be a problem as long as the drop doesn't continue to $55k, which might scare some small holders.
2 Reply Quote Share
t0ny_gangFull Member
Posts: 84 · Reputation: 329
#8Sep 20, 2023, 05:12 AM
For some people will think this is a trap for those who can not analyze for more. But for those who can calm down with the current situation, they can see a chance to buy more Bitcoin at a low price. You don't have to be afraid with the down trend because it is correction that always happen and gives you the opportunity to buy back for more. This October still have a long days to see what will happen later so you will not have to worry with the market movement. You only need to use this moment to accumulate more Bitcoin while you have that chance. We must keep positive seeing the current situation in the market so we can think clear of what we will do now.
0 Reply Quote Share
Posts: 27 · Reputation: 227
#9Sep 20, 2023, 06:11 PM
The sudden dumping of Bitcoin price since September 30th has been referred to as a trap by many, but I don't consider it a trap at all as a search of Bitcoin price history shows that October is a bullish month, meaning that Bitcoin price rises. Bitcoin prices may have dropped significantly due to the growing geopolitical crisis in the Middle East. After the bombing of the Hezbollah organization in Lebanon, we saw a different take on the Bitcoin market. Not only this, we also saw in April this year that the price of Bitcoin dropped by 10% after Israel attacked Iran. Bitcoin price spiked months after Israel attacked Iran i.e. Bitcoin price spiked in September. Given the current situation, we are still optimistic that the price of Bitcoin will rise again.
5 Reply Quote Share
0xN0nceSenior Member
Posts: 421 · Reputation: 1069
#10Sep 20, 2023, 11:05 PM
Well, we are just at the start of the month and the market are probably shaking up the paper hands and finally wait for the people who have real diamond hands. They have an opportunity to buy a lot more in this market so more will be HODLed. It’s a trap for the paper hands.
1 Reply Quote Share
omega_2013Full Member
Posts: 54 · Reputation: 355
#11Sep 22, 2023, 07:36 PM
The correction that happened in early October was necessary for the market and I am not surprised by that. People are giving the reason Iran fired missiles at Israel and that is why bitcoin price corrected. That's not wrong but I believe that even without that news, Bitcoin price would still correct because the crowd is very hopeful for "Uptober", and the crowd's positive attitude is not a good sign for the market to go up. Similar to September, when not many people were optimistic and they thought September would end badly but the end result was not as bad as we thought. October will still be a good month for the market but I think the first thing is that it will make people more scared and skeptical, and the price of bitcoin will increase in people's skepticism, IMO.
0 Reply Quote Share
real_ledgerFull Member
Posts: 108 · Reputation: 703
#12Sep 22, 2023, 10:12 PM
The trend of the Uptober brought Bitcoin to chase the green side, which was how we ended the September with $66k after Bitcoin has suffered for below $60k for the past few weeks before the last days of September.    I can't see this as a trap, but the drop in the Bitcoin market can without doubt be connected to the war between Iran and Israel. War always has a significant negative impact on the price of Bitcoin, and we might even see the worst market in time to come as Israel is yet to retaliate. We definitely are going to have a different October from what we expected from it.
3 Reply Quote Share
tony69Senior Member
Posts: 287 · Reputation: 1054
#13Sep 23, 2023, 04:28 AM
You could be right in your opinion but to me if judging or entirely relying on those news, what I does is that I will try to find out their position in Bitcoin holding. Like are they bitcoin friendly nations or how often does these countries uses bitcoin on their daily basis that have this effects on bitcoin price,  for instance, country like US, Canada, and or African country like, Nigeria and more bitcoin friendly country will surely affect the price. But however, we can't entirely judge because this was how the month of September started with dip and later become bullish to an extent we saw 66+ plus.
2 Reply Quote Share
lynx07Member
Posts: 12 · Reputation: 185
#14Sep 23, 2023, 04:46 AM
As usual, the market correction moment is also considered an opportunity to increase BTC asset ownership for those who still have more funds. In addition, there is also a direct connection even though the ratio has little influence after the release of the new Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) figures by S&P Global which concluded the figure below 50 (underperforming) so that it raises sentiments of concern about the performance of many stocks and reduces investor confidence to enter. But, historically, if we look at the price in October, there is likely to be a good price change for BTC even though it is not too significant.
6 Reply Quote Share
HumbleBitFull Member
Posts: 80 · Reputation: 457
#15Sep 23, 2023, 10:52 AM
Well now we are in this month called 'Uptober' but it is not acting like this. We can think it does have alot to do with the war in the Middle East. And the stock markets are also not acting like a 'bull market'. I just do wish for us history will repeat like it does in October. We do need some big gains before it is the end of the year. It is now for us to still hodl our coins. Do not be tempted to sell.
6 Reply Quote Share
im_apeHero Member
Posts: 629 · Reputation: 3824
#16Sep 23, 2023, 11:31 AM
It is not a trap in my opinion. Bitcoin price is reacting to recession, as recession gets worse the price drops. One of the root causes of recession specially in the West is the energy price. Oil is jumping up and down in a very weird way. From $69 to $75 range. The yesterday's jump could be a reason that put a little sell pressure on bitcoin price pushing it down a little toward $60k. The global tensions is of course another reason for it. With US-Russia threatening the world with their nukes and the genocide going on in Palestine, the insecurity is of course putting sell pressure on the markets. There was also last night's operation by Iran against the Israeli terrorists according to the Article 51 of the UN Charter https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5511403.0 That tension always leads to energy price rise which in turn increases recession and then recession and the global tensions both have negative effect on bitcoin price.
6 Reply Quote Share
SwiftOrbitSenior Member
Posts: 540 · Reputation: 1604
#17Sep 23, 2023, 01:39 PM
If you follow the stock market, you will see that Iran's retaliation against Israel has dragged down the entire US and global stock market, that means it has a negative impact on the entire world economy and bitcoin is no exception as it is also a part of the world. The only asset that would benefit if the war got worse was gold and that proves once again that gold is the safest haven. Bitcoin and the stock market are both highly risky speculative assets, so dumping is inevitable in the event of war or economic instability. The Bitcoin price corrections in early September and early October were completely different, so it will be difficult to say whether Bitcoin will recover or rally this month if the war does not end soon.
4 Reply Quote Share
ninja_viperFull Member
Posts: 178 · Reputation: 785
#18Sep 24, 2023, 04:02 AM
The month of October literally started just yesterday! You can't use the action of one day to judge the others. It's just a matter of time before we see price getting back to normal and as at time of writing, Bitcoin price is trading at $65,557. Not much lower than what we closed the month of September with when it was at $66k. I have the hopes that we can see it hitting the $70k mark if not higher being as October has always been a good period for it, so I won't be quick to assume this month is a trap. Just exercise patience.
4 Reply Quote Share
yield_hawkSenior Member
Posts: 197 · Reputation: 1334
#19Sep 24, 2023, 08:24 AM
Lol, we are barely just 2 days for this month and you already conclude that we might be in a bear market. Maybe there are sellers when the price hits $66k, as it could easily be profit taking for them. Remember that we have seen the price at $52k and if they bought around that price, I wouldn't be surprised if they sell at the price of $66k. As there are many long term holders, their could also be short day traders who likely squeeze profits daily. So we can't conclude it right away, and just like what we said in September, it should be a bad month base on it's past historical logs, and yet we finished the month with a +7%  increased. We can't really say what will be the price though at the end of October, market is very volatile and we can only hope that we can continue with a positive momentum that could lead to $70k'ish.
2 Reply Quote Share
tony_ninjaSenior Member
Posts: 139 · Reputation: 897
#20Sep 24, 2023, 11:20 AM
I don't think that we may have another ATH at the end of this month but of course if things go well then it's highly possible to have a new ATH within these 3 months of this year. I can't say much about the month of October as its beginning has already caused a huge dip in the market, and if things continue that way then I might call this a bearish month. However, I believe in November Bitcoin will once again start getting higher in value and of course US elections will have great impact on value of Bitcoin.
2 Reply Quote Share

Related topics