There's an article about it if you wanna check it out.
I believe she's suggesting that if folks start grabbing bitcoin while it's relatively low at 71000 bucks, the return on investment for bitcoin will outpace that of gold within the next couple of years.
What are your thoughts on this?
I have a feeling she's onto something.
That her prediction is not very reliable.
Saying that and saying nothing are more or less the same thing, but what sells are eye-catching headlines.
The reality is that everyone would have agreed with that years ago, when Bitcoin had outperformed gold throughout its history. And no one could have predicted what has happened in recent years, with Bitcoin losing ground to gold. Therefore, no one knows what the future holds.
Don't you think she is looking for attention?
Of course there are people out there today who are so much desperate seeking for attention or even wants to becomes that knowing through bitcoin. Of course we all know how the price of bitcoin moves and how it is always unpredictable, and even as what the previous poster just said.. We might not know where the price could land us, just as how many people do not know what could be of last halving and how the price rises before the halving. To me, I just believed that she is just seeking for an attention over this matter through bitcoin and nothing much.
I will prefer her prediction.
If bitcoin is at $5000 right now, it takes it 3x to get to $15000.
If bitcoin is at $70000 right now, it takes it 3x to get to $210000.
I still think that bitcoin will get to $210000 before gold. The only advantage gold has is that it does not fall too much like bitcoin but bitcoin will always rise back.
There have been time that gold is disappointing in the past when gold fell significantly. One was in 2011 or so. Another one was in 2020 or so.
If gold could nearly double in twelve months, then bitcoin can far outperform gold with one tenth of the same liquidity.
I can obviously not predict the future, but if the cycle theory is confirmed again, then we should expect a bottom at around ~$45k. A 5x from that point can put us around $225k, so it's entirely plausible that you outperform gold if you buy bitcoin today and hold it for at least three years.
Looking at previous price performance of bitcoin versus gold, Bitcoin outperformed gold in 2017, the next time it did was in 2024, now calculate how many years it took for bitcoin to surge pass gold after 2017, 7 years right? Bitcoin will outperform gold again but it may not be within 2 to 3 years as Lyn Alden predicted.
I love this response.
Relatively, gold has less volatility to bitcoin.
She predicts that to happen three years from now, that's a target on the next bull cycle of Bitcoin, that's likely to be possible and at same time impossible too, Bitcoin is a speculative asset and we could expect more or less from it which anything is just possible so we can not conclude on one thing, I believe that's why Lyn also cautioned people not to assume a complete relationship over Bitcoin and gold, both asset could rise or fall at same time, we saw that while Bitcoin was pumping during the just concluded bull market, gold was also pumping. She could be right with her prediction, but it's possible that the opposite can also happen.
Well Gold is up nearly 80% over the last 1 year and Bitcoin is down nearly 25% in the last 1 year (the performance since October 2025 is actually -50%).
Its not a secret that Bitcoin did not do that well in the most recent bull run. The 2021 top was 69k, we didnt even 2x as we hit the top at 126k. This gives me hope though because Gold has a lot of room to fall after hitting its generational top.
Bitcoin has already dumped 50% so more downside is possible, maybe even likely but limited. I think Lyn Alden is right and if we take the price of Gold and Bitcoin today, I expect Bitcoin to outperform Gold throughout the rest of this decade.
Lyn Alden is a well-known macroeconomist, she is good at market analysis and from what she said in the link you shared, she could be correct because gold is at a greed index now while bitcoin is in a fear index so it's possible that the next market trend after this bear period will bounce on bitcoin therefore there's possibilities of bitcoin gaining more momentum and market sentiment becomes bullish.
Lyn Alden (she)
In terms of annual ROI seriously bitcoin will you edges over Gold due to the volatility surrounding it, bitcoin has actually been in bearish sentiment since 6 months now and the last few months were best periods for gold so for comparison its actually not the best of time.
Yes bitcoin didnt reached 2x of the ATH but this shouldnt be a huge surprise because it was eminent from the beginning that bitcoin volatility will reduce as the year progresses because of many factors which market cap which is growing big also contributes to the less volatility. We cannot have those 20x in less years again
I do agree that by 2029 we could definitely see it go well beyond gold as a whole market cap, but even if it doesn't do that, at least outperform it. If you buy today, same amount of gold and bitcoin, and then you hold it until 2029, I guarantee you that bitcoin would be going higher and gold would still be going up but not as much as bitcoin.
These are simple things, if you bought last year and hold until now, gold would be better, because right now we are in the bear market. So if you buy at bear market and sell at bull market, bitcoin is by far the best investment you could make, however some unlucky people just buy at bull market and then see it drop a lot at bear market and fear and get scared and sell at bear market so that's going to hurt a lot more.
Yes, you are very right that bitcoin was unable to get to 2x of its all time high of 2021 in the last bull market but bitcoin marketcap has been increasing significantly, we should expect lowering volatility, unlike the altcoins with small marketcap. It is very possible that bitcoin will not go more than $200000 in the next bull market, but from $67000, that is almost 3 time increase. I do not think gold will be able to do this in the next 3 years but bitcoin has the high chance of doing it despite the lowering volatile.
I agree more with this prediction from economist Lyn Alden - Considering bitcoin's ROI achievement when it went from bearish to bullish then it was over 200% it does take a long time but what we predict in the next highest price of bitcoin is $200K at least 3x the current price of $71K.
I don't always pay attention to gold movements, but only last year 2025 where gold jumped high more than 75% is what I know, while gold is a stable asset, the increase will not be as high as Bitcoin.
Okay thanks Captain Obvious. I do mean that economist and not you OP.
What do I mean is that, what's her basis on having that prediction? Price history. We know that in the next 2-3 years, if the 4-year market cycle will still be in play, the bull run will happen somewhere at around 2028-2029, same prediction as hers, but if you're into the crypto for quite some time, and you've already seen how the market moves, you know that her prediction is something that we already know. It's just that, she's an economist so her prediction is the one that's highlighted, but we know that it will happen PROVIDED that the 4-year cycle will happen.
Of course, her prediction will happen, and many are expecting it to happen. Take her prediction I guess, and just continue buying Bitcoin if you believe that in 2028-2029, the bull run cycle will happen again. Just buying it now will make your money double in the next 2-3 years IF...
Gold clearly has outperformed Bitcoin in recent years but if people only look at recent years, they will be fooled. Gold and Bitcoin are different assets and they have different market cycles. If gold and Bitcoin has same market cycle length, for example 4 years, the better performances of gold compare to Bitcoin performances means more but this assumption is wrong.
Bitcoin as we all know that it has 4-year market cycle as effects from Bitcoin halving.
Gold as many people don't know, has a longer market cycle length, that is about 15 to 16 years. Recent two years are very good for gold holders but if they won't take advantage of it and take profit, or with speculators who are too greedy to exit with profit, they will stuck in gold market for about one more decade.
Gold: sixteen year cycle.
How will gold be able to be better than Bitcoin in long term?
There are many factors that can affect the performance of a given asset, like
Institutional AdoptionInterest RatesGeopolitical TensionSupply Dynamics
With the current events, it seems like the 3rd one could be a big factor in pricing. So I'm not sure whether it's best for you to get more now or wait a little bit, so there's less tension and stability can be ensured.
There are definitely ways to be part of it and I do hope that BTC could outperform despite its years of existence.
(biased towards BTC lol)
I thought Bitcoin is already outperformed Gold in term of ROI. Buying 1 bitcoin when it was at $1 (2011) is giving you 67k% ROI, which is clearly outperforming gold even if you bought $1 worth of gold at 1900s. However, it's not clear what she means about outperform gold in the coming years.
Did she mean about to outperform the price of 1kg of gold or what?
However, i have an assumption if she means about to outperform gold in term of yearly chart. Yeah, it's pretty disappointing we're going back to the price of 5 years ago. It's really detrimental when we see it as a digital gold, but the growth is not as steady as gold.
We need more adoption to ensure btc price can resist when it comes to the global economic crisis like this time.
I also prefer it but it is not reliable.
Bitcoin did not even double in value during the last cycle, and the previous cycle saw a 3.5-fold increase, which are clear examples of diminishing returns. Now it could do a 3X or even more, which I would prefer, but it doesn't fit with the trend.
She is biologically a male, that's what OgNasty is pointing out.
I am against all woke and gender nonsense, but I have no problem referring to someone who is biologically male as she if she identifies as a woman.