Looks like our buddy Tom Lee is at odds with his Fundstrat partner over where bitcoin's heading, lol.
His partner thinks bitcoin could drop to around $60k in 2026, while Tom's all in on the idea that we might hit new highs early in 2026.
Who's gonna be right? The partner or Tom?
So, there's been some chatter on X about this situation, especially after a user named "Heisenberg" (@Mr_Derivatives) pointed out some conflicting predictions from Fundstrat's team. One comment from Sean Farrell, who heads their digital asset strategy, suggests bitcoin could fall back to the $60,000 $65,000 range in the first half of 2026. On the flip side, Tom's been out there saying bitcoin could reach new all-time highs sometime early in 2026.
Check out the full scoop at this link.
Tom is trying to become a social media talking head like Jim Cramer or Peter Schiff. It is telling that his company has been preparing for the bear market while he tells people the price is going to the moon. Everyone knew the 4-year correction was coming. Beware the folks who were saying we were going higher.
The way these people are saying that bitcoin will increase in 2026 to the extent some said bitcoin will get to $200000 in 2026 is somehow. It is like a coordinated speech that has been planned before or maybe it is from a technical analytical point of view. I just know that analyses can be very inaccurate at times. 2026 is almost here, I will see what will happen. I also think that bitcoin price may still go down to at least $72500 or lower.
We can be quite certain that similar to his famous prediction on the cycle before where he predicted that bitcoin will pump to $25k when the bubble pop happened on $20k, he is only finding some people to hold with him through the bear market.
He might also be doing these bullish predictions to make us his exit liquidity and dump on our faces with our mouths open. He is a frustrated man who wants to be something similar to an arab billionaire who can do the Dubai chocolate on people hehehehe.
Well, these speculations are normal; that's their vision and opinion, and we must respect it. If you can see, the figures, $60,000 ,are around $20,000 away from the current price, so there's still a chance we can drop to that price.
Well, some personalities also doing these kind of publicity so price can drop and they can buy more cheap Bitcoins.
Not coordinated but we think why they wanted it to be still bullish, because they might have clients that pour a lot of money on them and so they want to make profits by trying to tell the public that it is still OK to invest on Bitcoin despite what the charts is saying.
Truth to be told, we might be in the bearish season for all we know. But majority still refuses to acknowledge it maybe because (a), they haven't sold yet and think that the price will go on to $150k before they take profits, or (b), like Fundstrat and other who handle big clients, they want to assure them that the price will continue to rise and so they want them to invest more of their money so this companies will profits too.
Classic Bitcoin Uncle Tom sees fireworks in early 2026 his partner sees gravity kicking in afterward. Same firm different lenses. Bitcoin can easily hit a new ATH first then retrace to $60k$65k later. Markets arent linear and Bitcoin loves confusing everyone.
I don't really know much about these men but like you said we should be aware of the four years cycle a dip is not forever, the bear will come and the bull will come and dominate even higher than before. Sit and watch, all these are speculations, let's be guided and avoid FUD/FOMO.
It's probably his partner who's sharing an objective outlook. Tom's is obviously an exaggeration. I doubt if there's really somebody who's looking forward to an ATH early next year. We can't even reclaim $90,000. But it's very normal for crypto personalities who've got so much stake on the market to create hype all year round, that is, even if it's in the middle of a correction. The price may be going down but their predictions are all bullish.
Anyway, $60,000 is much more probable than an ATH.
However, similar to uncle Tom Lee, there are also some personalities that are predicting very high prices and hype the market to dump on our faces with our mouths open again hehehe.
This might also be caused by an anguishing feeling where holding a falling cryptocoin wants you to encourage everyone to buy and hold the falling cryptocoin with you to have the anguishing feeling together hehehehehehee.
A two way prediction coming from the same firm, a completely normal phenomenon in finance world especially in crypto .
However, from the news I've read from yahoo finance.. The reason their forecast is contradictory is just matter of short term and long term holding where sean farrel only giving insight about short term outlook for bitcoin where tom lee's advise is more geared toward institutional holding bitcoin for diversification for long term.
So actually there's no contradiction.
@X-ray. However, if we only concentrate on 2026, there is a big chance that Sean Farrell will be proven more correct than the prediction of our favorite Korean uncle Tom Lee hehehe. Very much similar to 2022, I reckon 2026 might be a bear market.
I still do not see the path to either scenario is clear enough for one partner to dismiss the other's opinion. The market is undecided so perhaps its ideal that they disagree and maybe between them they can decipher a correct perspective in probability outcome.
60k is quite clearly bearish, if that's the destination for 2026 it will mean the Bitcoin price has reverted back to a price first seen half a decade ago. Even more surprising is the manner by which it will have achieved that low which is slow and steady decline.
I wont say either is incorrect or impossible, the difficult task is that all things are possible though some will always remain improbable and that's all we can know. Price can do anything in a wide market of assets, there are plenty of alternative assets to draw investment with more promising gains at less risk is a fair view.
Value is more important then price, that's the bigger discussion imo.
I will go with 60k as possible in any sustained way only if at first we fail properly in a determined path upwards. A failed rally upwards is bearish and the sell is fair. Same too the inverse, be bearish but even a bear can easily resolve to run in fear.
Tom Lee and Sean Farrell are humans who have some level of imperfections. This is proof we shouldn't depend on the predictions of these crypto or financial analysts. Different predictions from the same organisations show that they are sure. This is why we should always do our own research before making decisions. Anyway, I am on Sean Farrell's side that Bitcoin would drop to $60,000$65,000 in the first half of next year.
Regarding Bitcoin price predictions for 2026, I think Uncle Tom is not alone in making predictions for the year 2026. My analysis may not yet be at the stage where I can confirm whether Tom or his colleague is correct about Bitcoin price predictions for 2026.
I haven't found a formula that can convince me whether the data from Q1 2023 and 2024 will repeat itself after a slightly poor 2022.
Saying Bitcoin will get a new ATH in 2026 sounds strange. Does he know something we don't? I don't believe Bitcoin will drop down to sixty thousand, but I also don't believe it will get another all-time high next year. I believe Bitcoin will remain in the current range for the first quarter of next year. We won't see any significant change.
We must know that all these are just normal predictions. Even if analysts say Bitcoin will move in a certain direction, we shouldn't take it to heart, because no one can know exactly what the future holds.
I don't know which one is right, his friend's colleague or Tom Lee's uncle, it makes more sense to me that in 2026 it enters bearish so it is natural for prices to fall as predicted by his colleague, quite realistically now that the market is not showing signs of bullishness anymore we suspect bearishness is coming. If Tom Lee's prediction is correct we are still happy right?
Ideally the bitcoin market trend is supposed to be bearish next year because the historical trend suggests the year to be bullish one as it is the year after the bitcoin bull run year. If it is base on this then the year will be bearish but there is high chance that we would be seeing a bullish trend next against odds because this is as a result of the change in trend that we experienced this year which is supposed to be bullish but we had almost half of the year been bearish, so with the bearish trend starting this early I think it will be very normal to see buyers get back into the market and probably turn some part of next year into bullish trend.
Based on the current price of Bitcoin, it is not possible to accurately predict where Bitcoin will go in 2026. However, the predictions we make about the price of Bitcoin are only based on assumptions. Tom Lee has made many predictions before, we have not seen his predictions come true very well, but I think Bitcoin will be at its highest in the first quarter of 2026 and then the Bitcoin market may slowly collapse.