So, I just wanna say, as I've mentioned before, I've managed to cash out successfully. I sold all my BTC and top coins and made about 100% profit this season. Right now, I'm holding USDT and just watching from the sidelines. My biggest expectation is for the market to show a clear trend soon.
I notice in a lot of discussions that many folks are still holding on, hoping for one last surge in this cycle that pushes BTC to around 150K USD or even 180K USD. This belief sticks around even though BTC lost its momentum after dropping out of the 100K USD zone. Honestly, it seems like BTC's uptrend for this cycle has wrapped up. Now, it's mostly moving sideways, possibly gearing up for a downtrend that might last around a year and cover most of 2026.
I'm not trying to persuade anyone that a downtrend is coming since it doesn't benefit me. I'm not trading Futures to jump into a huge short position and I'm definitely not in a rush to scoop up BTC before 2027. I'm just curious about what everyone else thinks and what they're basing their predictions on.
Sure, a new ATH could definitely happen for BTC this December or in the first quarter of 2026, like some influencers are saying. But I just don’t see any solid reason to invest my time and money in something that feels pretty unlikely. Same goes for an altseason. The market isn't obligated to dish out an altseason just for altcoin holders to cash in and get rich.
So, what's your take? What are you expecting from the crypto market soon: a BTC ATH, altseason?
What do you hope to see from the crypto market?
19 replies 143 views
I'm expecting the same like you. The all time chart doesn't look good considering bitcoin breaks its major support in the last weeks. However, it'sgetting a bounce back after it's moving down to 80k, which normal to happen consider it's looking another supply zone area.
Honestly, i only expect bearish trend that may come soon. It's right some people are expecting another bull trend caused by they were taking the picture instead of taking the profit when btc peaked at 125k.
Yet, i doubt they will sell their asset even if we're see anther bump again, which is unlikely to happen.
sigma_satoshiFull Member
Posts: 109 · Reputation: 708
#3Nov 24, 2023, 03:05 AM
If it's about expectation, my expectation when this year ends is about a downtrend and that's the usual cycle that we go through, right?
So, if the bull run is done then that's what we should see next. Altcoin season was past and it happened already but many are in denial that it didn't happen.
It did actually and we've seen many alts like SOL moved that much and people ignored that. BTC went to $126k as the ATH and we thought it will be $150k and even more.
We'll see if 2026 is actually where the bear market starts as per 4 years cycle.
I agree with you on this especially on the altcoin market strength during bull season, it's already known there are many altcoin nowadays and that the ones with the biggest strength overcomes and breaks noise.
Watching closely, you'll see that BNB and ETH, SOL coupled with other bigger altcoin experiences their ATH or nearing ATH, meaning, not all could be able to attain the height and that bull season already occurred too as well.
Once this happens, the next year had always been retracement and major downtrends as OP said.
sigma_satoshiFull Member
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#5Nov 26, 2023, 01:52 PM
Yeah, those you have mentioned were the altcoins that have moved for this bull run. But as for ETH, its peak for this year was just the same on 2021.
Although it's not a matter to complain about because that's still something good for the ETH holders despite that it's down now moving on the $3kish price.
We have to expect more retracements and price volatility by next year.
Not everyone is interested in selling their coins irrespective of what the price does, those are the people the world "HODL" apply to. I cannot get poor through holding neither will the quantity of Bitcoin I have reduce, it is just the dollar equivalent that is fluctuating which I know in a matter of time all the losses will be recovered and I will be in massive profits. I'm not condemning your strategy but I'm only stating that it is different from mine. My focus now is to buy more now that the price has dropped significantly.
ryanwizardSenior Member
Posts: 334 · Reputation: 1694
#7Nov 26, 2023, 03:46 PM
For those that have not invested, then they have to hasten up and take advantage of doing so, this will help them to make use of the opportunity rendered now before the season come for selling, however, we should be more sensitive to what we invest if we don't want to end up being on loss, another aspect is for those that already have been into it already, to continue holding till the bull or alt season fully come for us.
coin_sigmaLegendary
Posts: 1275 · Reputation: 5553
#8Nov 26, 2023, 06:48 PM
We are actually on the downtrend if you check the chart in the daily time frame, and if you know the structure of the downtrend, then this should be considered: we are still in bearish with a slight retracement under the $90k level. Based on my analysis, if that zone between $96k and $98k, where the previous breakout happened the past few months, fails to retake, then there is a big chance next year will be bearish.
As you can see from your weekly chart, the trend is already broken, and I believe the market is going to retest that area before the bearish continuation.
The thing with them is they are still waiting for the right time to invest. They don't see the current situation for them to invest and take the opportunity right away. What they think of is on getting when the market dumps more and expect to have a bigger crash that the market will hit. But the existing holders, we can do nothing from the situation if we're already satisfied with the amount we're holding. Although we're free to continue and keep on doing it because we're already placed well and if we have some money to invest again, that's better if we do it.
SilentGuruSenior Member
Posts: 432 · Reputation: 1445
#10Nov 26, 2023, 08:48 PM
I'm waiting for BTC's new ATH because adoption by big funds, etc is just starting. Honestly kinda expecting it to reach $150k at least by 2026 though seeing the momentum, it's indeed weakening but bitcoin can regain its momentum suddenly historically speaking.
We've had this kind of time many time already where people thought we're done for and the rally is ended yet bitcoin still climbs up.
As for altcoin. I don't really expect much. The crazy meme rugs and the crazy ICO extracting retailers of their money is enough reason to say that there will be no altcoin season at all.
The predictions were based on historical data, but so far Bitcoin is not following the pattern of this historical data, so any prediction between $50,000 and $150,000 seems logical at the moment, as it is possible that the price will rise to the level of $120,000, and then breaking the ATH could lead us to $150,000 quickly, or the price could fall below $70,000.
I think there's changes of dynamics happening since ETF inflows, institutional adoptions and macro conditions change the phase of the market movement. Also instead of relying the historical data and past halving cycles maybe much better to track the current regulatory conditions and flows of liquidity also we can also add up the miners activity to get an idea about what's going to happen with Bitcoin next year. If good situations will occur then provably Bitcoin will accelerate then hit that $120,000 - $150,000.
Let's see if we could see this figure to come up since it would be nice if Bitcoin would have another great leap then break new ATH for next year.
raven_sigmaFull Member
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#13Nov 26, 2023, 10:19 PM
In cryptocurrency business or investment, everyone is waiting for same thing for the investment, the thing that will make the investment of Bitcoin, we have different plans why we are into cryptocurrency, it maybe due to the kind of crypto you wants to put to your portfolio, so I believe that the mission of everyone in cryptocurrency neither btc or altcoins, all is similar ambitions and targets we have in cryptocurrency
Some people do waits for bearish season to invest in cryptocurrency why some waits for bullish season to invest in cryptocurrency, so I believe that in cryptocurrency we need to understand the protocols of cryptocurrency to know that people do invest in cryptocurrency of different type, neither short-term or long-term, so it depends of the targets and determination of the investors.
Yes, sir. We all come in with different plans and motivations, usually shaped by the types of assets we want to build into our portfolios. But essentially, as you mentioned above, whether its BTC or altcoins, the ambitions and end goals are almost identical for all of us.
So, from the OP's question about what we're really expecting from the market right now, the part that really stands out to me is how do we ensure our investments, whether in Bitcoin or anything else, actually turn a profit instead of falling into the same traps over and over again?
Thats where the real crux of the matter lies.
real_protoMember
Posts: 7 · Reputation: 101
#15Nov 27, 2023, 02:00 AM
As Trends till last 15 Years, Every Monthly Candle showing will possible boom market on Jan 2026.
.
Since October 10th bitcoin price has been on a downtrend till date despite the sideways movement we are still below $100k. If by next year January ending, bitcoin hasn't create a new ATH, the bears will take full possession of the market. I'm not expecting an uptrend because I'm already bearish. I will continue to DCA and hodli, it's time to accumulate and not to sell.
vault_2009Full Member
Posts: 198 · Reputation: 739
#17Nov 30, 2023, 02:55 AM
Your plans seems so good and realistic but I am not seeing anything about altcoins particularly. I mean, are you only bitcoin investor or not having any specific expectations with altcoins. I agree that bears may start dominating at any time if bitcoin market fails to show any resistance even it may fail to have a new ATH but staying above $100k or $110k level seems more important to keep the confidence from investors.
Personally I do not have any big plans to execute hence I am not waiting for anything. I mean if bitcoin enters to bearish, I would be happy to buy more for my same budget whereas if bitcoin manages to continue its bullish trend, I still continue my DCA and if altcoins follow bitcoin's bullish action then I may go cash out, otherwise I will simply continue my holding of altcoins.
It depends on the type of coins that you're holding because it's not all altcoins that will increase in value in the long-term majority of them decline in price without bouncing back. I can only keep BNB because it loiks promising but I don't know how long will this last. I have sold all my altcoins to buy bitcoin in October.
I'm expecting that the price of Bitcoin will dip in this coming bear market, the price could dip below what is expected by people, we already see how some persons believes that the price will surge to a new ATH by next year but that's not very sure to happen, but in case it also happen like that, I am already DCAing towards the next possible outcome, if by next year the price surge to $200k, then i will have more profit but if it dip like I expect, I will buy more.
wallet2020Member
Posts: 20 · Reputation: 228
#20Dec 1, 2023, 04:02 AM
This is like a never ending ride or a coaster. I remember last time, people always crave for $100k. It took so many attempts before we get it but now that we finally get it, people now have another target. But before this, I'm sure same scenario have occurred.
For this year, we must be done yet because there is almost no time left, but if we follow the history or the cycle, then we can retain the flow of the price. Alts on the other hand, must have their own cycle too, so why not? We can disregard the effect of the meme coins and ICO's since they are always there and part of the altcoin.
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