Overcoming the "Survivorship Bias" in Trading
Trait 1: Trade Like a Machine (Forget Luck)
Reality Check:
Traders who stick to their plans have a survival rate over 3 years that’s 17 times better than those who trade on impulse.
Trait 2: Look for Evidence that Challenges Your Beliefs (Skip the Confirmation Bias)
Common Mistake:
Thinking "My coin is gonna skyrocket!" and then only reading positive news while ignoring the warning signs.
Trait 3: Accept Boredom (The Key to Not Overtrading)
"Trading is 99% waiting and 1% action, yet newbies spend 99% trying to make trades."
Real Example:
Losing trader: over 20 trades daily, ends up with a -15% net return.
Winning trader: only 3 trades per week, enjoys a 148% annual return (data from Legend Challenge Q1 2024).
Trait 4: View Losses as Learning Opportunities
Psychology Study:
Two groups lose $1,000:
Group A: Blames themselves (“I’m dumb”).
Group B: Analyzes what went wrong.
Outcome: Group B did 400% better than Group A over six months.
Trait 5: Focus on Risk Management (Not Quick Riches)
Dangerous Myth:
Thinking "This altcoin is gonna 100x!" → Truth is, 98% of altcoins fail within 3 years (CoinMarketCap).
"These five traits seem straightforward, but 90% of traders give up within three months because they can’t adjust their instincts."
👉 Your Thoughts:
Build these traits in the $100K simulated environment of the Legend Challenge;
"Top traders aren’t born they’re made through consistent habits. Ready to start?"
🚀 Jump into the Legend Challenge Now www.findtrader.net
What Makes Only 1 in 10,000 Traders Successful? Insights from Our Data
15 replies 253 views
cryptolordFull Member
Posts: 88 · Reputation: 316
#2May 26, 2025, 10:43 PM
Backtesting is necessary to test trading strategies based on historical data to assess whether we are good enough at analyzing or whether further adjustments are needed. traders who are lazy to do backtesting will usually have difficulty using certain strategies in their trading because they lack data to optimize their trading.
However, backtesting cannot guarantee that a trader will be successful in their trading. because it could be that the strategy can work very well on historical data but fail in the real market. but that is much better than traders who only trade based on their luck.
^ True to that.
That's why we need to manage the risks properly even if the backtesting says to us - go on and keep going with bigger funds
Where did you get such gloomy statistics, where only 1 out of 10000 becomes a profitable trader? In fact, according to research, about 5-10% become those who profit from trading, that is, 5-10 people out of 100 succeed in trading.
chrischainFull Member
Posts: 126 · Reputation: 408
#5May 30, 2025, 07:13 AM
It also depends on which group of traders we look at.
We would definitely need to put more analysis power to asses the numbers, and it all is pretty personal to each trader.
The market have it'd own way of manipulating the traders and investors, the earlier we spot our weakness and fix it, the better. There's always this soft spot that will probably turn things into jeopardy, we acknowledge the fact that the market is not for everyone but the determine one will always win. The space is available for everyone of us, we can surround ourselves with formidable strategies and bend on recoveries that will become exploring for the possible outcome. You're absolutely right about this particular feature of the market. We should execute trade like professional and not some random newbie who got lucky in the space.
vault_2009Full Member
Posts: 198 · Reputation: 739
#7Jun 1, 2025, 01:19 PM
Yeah, backtracking got its own limitations. I do hear that people do say that old strategies are not handful anymore. It is because volatility and market movers are not same for all the times. Backtracking may help to understand on how a strategy might have worked for the past market conditions and if same kind of market occurs in future as well then those strategies may get us profits; still the chances are only 50%. Historical data is a good way to analyse the market behaviour but got nothing to do with profit making.
I do not need any statistics for this. In my observation, even out of 1 million trader, none gets opportunity to make consistent profits. Those 5 to 10% may make profits but in long run, they also lose and quit. By considering the consistency factor for long period of 10 years or 20 years (usual investment time frame), you can find less than 0.001% do get succeed in trading.
yeah sounds like OP's platform isn't really data driven platform . because that's just forged stat.
the trait he mentioned also the traits that's known by any trader, it's basically just trading discipline that we'll all find in trading 101.
the problem that trader always find themselves hard to solve is emotion control, because when emotion breaks loose, it'll defy logic and those traits will be ignored.
viper_blockSenior Member
Posts: 205 · Reputation: 1216
#9Jun 1, 2025, 07:13 PM
That is because not many traders learn the details about trading. Most traders especially new traders rely on the trading signal they get from Telegram channel or other sources. They don't know that the signal will not always work because they may late to execute the signal.
Besides that, they are tempting from the info that saying this coin or token will increase shortly without research. Their obsess to be like other traders who can make a big profit in short time so they enter to trading. The last thing is they don't manage their funds that they will use to trading so most of them use big money to trade.
That will not be good for them because without having skill in trading, they will difficult to make a profit. So those who want to enter trading must think twice and check how good their skill. If they realize that they must learn more about trading, they need to learn it before trade.
Hate to say this but this is one of the rare posts that actually describe the facts.
However, you're selling something that I'm not sure can be done. Because you can't rewire risk appetite, I think. It's maturity on one hand I want to say but I know people doing the same stupid crypto shit they did 20 years in forex (I was one of them too honestly).
If your program works, you should sell it to gamblers I bet you, this same dataset applies to them
5h4rd_2015Full Member
Posts: 106 · Reputation: 462
#11Jun 2, 2025, 12:53 AM
They say that "the gods do not burn pots"; that is, this means that everything that some people do, others can do. However, when it comes to trading, for success, of course, not only knowledge and experience are necessary, but also internal ingenuity, which can show the trader in time what the risks are and whether it is worth using them. I know that very few, if any, achieve success in trading very quickly; they all go through many tough lessons of losses, after which they form their strategy and regularly improve it. Therefore, perhaps the numbers that the OP is talking about are too small for successful traders, but I am also inclined to believe that this is indeed a very small number.
On the time that i had stepped my foot into the market on which i have backtested out for how many times in regarding about certain strategies, but this one is talking about on FOREX trading and not on cryptocurrencies on which you do need up to have its historical data on making use on neither MT4 or MT5 on which you can make use of it to test those strategies that you do wanted to test out. On the time or moment that i have been that hovering myself on cryptocurrencies this is the time that i dont see for it to be relevant. Why? Crypto is too volatile and very unpredictable on which making use of TA's wont be that something precise most of the time. It could move out without any patterns shows and could move out without any reasons behind with those movements and thats why its much more harder.
In regarding about on the number of successful traders, then i do heavily agree that the numbers or ration is just that less and thats understandable because trading skills isnt something that you can be able to learn up on a short time period. You do need up to spend up sufficient time and effort to make a good grasps into it and this something that needs up to have this kind of approach. Success isnt something that you can be able to know without trying out to deal on with. So far, after backtesting idea the best one will be also forward testing on which i do see this to be much more better but still wont be enough that giving out that assurance on making profitable trades but at least you are doing something which is right rather than on making blind trades.
Many that are involved in trading are actually loosing but not all of them and we cant have the chances of every 10,000 traders winning to be 1 percent, all of us might have given up already, trading comes with having the Indepth of how it is being done, taking time and being patience, some of us don't know if we are qualified in having all these until we start trading to know more and better about ourself than even the trading we are doing, because we are facing the reality of a circumstance which cannot be denied or cheated upon and that is in our own ability to truly know how to trade.
boss_wizardSenior Member
Posts: 270 · Reputation: 1192
#14Jun 2, 2025, 05:08 AM
those things you mentioned are spot on.
but as long as human have something called greed, these will just become text book theory which can definitely work if being followed thoroughly, but you know human always do something unique sometime. like going all in to a shitcoin with obvious 99% chance of going under .
I mean, can you imagine what's on people's mind when they invested into something like fart coin, or celeb coin which from historical statistic most of them are just rug?, they definitely don't care about these things.
though I agree fully, elite traders are sculpted not born.
OP, you will be right to say not many people are successful trading but not to that ridiculous figure you put up there. It's absurd the way you put it 1 in 10,000? Where did you get that stats? But of course, I know it's a fabrication of your imagination. We should let facts speak and not our bias, so we don't mislead others. Data don't lie. Let's stick to fact here.
When I say that I trade once or a few times a year or two, I mean this. Trading is 99% waiting and 1% action, that's why my trades are very successful. I watch the market and when I want to do something, I remind myself that I should wait further, this is not the final image of the situation, so I force myself to wait more and then the picture becomes bright and you understand when it's the right time to buy again but to be honest, my problem is always selling. I find right times to buy the coin very easily but I mentally struggle when it comes to sell. I've had lots of successful sells and I'd even say that I accurately sell at peak times but this part is much harder for me than choosing the right time to buy.
I did both, I blamed myself for being an idiot but later, I started to analyze my behaviours and mistakes and fixed them.