With CFDs and stock futures getting super easy to trade, how’s everyone handling the US-Iran situation for some gains? I’ve been focusing on oil, defense stocks, semiconductors, and AI lately. It’s insane how quickly things are changing. The market's wild right now, and a bunch of traders are really profiting.
What pairs or sectors are you keeping an eye on?
Since Im not a stock trader anymore. I can see some gains to some of my friends who got some oil and gas stock here in our country. As kuch as I want to take part with this surge, I likely do some future trading related to that instead with the firms which have affiliated to some of the top notch oil companies.
But compared to the oil industry the AI sector seems overlooked by some for a while. Its quite good to have some position cause after the war this will be the next and boom narrative.
The affected market is better outsmarted immediately the war breaks out. As the US/Israel-Iran war breaks out, just buy/sell your asset(s), as the effects are not always sustained by the war, in my experience. Bitcoin and Oil markets actually reacted to the ongoing war, but you can see that they are now far from their respective war peak ($Oil) and bottom ($BTC). It even helped Bitcoin to excite when the community decided to buy back.
So, for me, anything after the first week of the war is not usually my thing.
If you lack enough proper capital to spread your investments, your best choice should be choosing the stock or sector that is most affected, where you can make a profit, and then investing in it. That is focusing on investing in one rather than all.
Oil and energy is the most affected sector; if you have the choice to invest in one, you should be choosing to invest in oil and energy stocks.
Opening an oil long seems to be the best bet right now, the war in there seems to have taken direction into blowing energy sector which is crazy since oil has been on the rise and it seems its about to do 2x or 3x again.
If only i have more cash right now because apparently majority of my holding still in bitcoin, but no regret though, I'm sure bitcoin will go up again eventually.
Anybody who longed oil would've made massive fortune by now since the news of the war.
What do you mean by they are easier than ever to trade? I do not see anything easy about it. Trading has been easy right from time, it is how to make it profitable is what that is hard for most people and it is still hard that way.
I prefer to trade bitcoin, solana and oil ETFs right now. I also like tokenized gold, and silver ETF but both assets are falling right now. I made a mistake that I knew oil will increase in price if the Iran war starts but I did not trade it on time.
Many investors who followed the speculation of the war till it began already started making their profit from oil stocks and right now it is clear how much profit they stand to be making considering the inflation ongoing.
Energy and oil would be my best bet because it would help protect against the inflation shock of oil ongoing.
It is important to note that only large investment would actually yield good returns instead of meager amounts that stands to be minimal in returns.
Well, you can use leverage for that. Even a meagre investment still yield a good result because after all, what are the chance of the oil price going down again beside the war suddenly ended abruptly yet both party are so insistence to win the war.
It's best Risk:Reward trade in my opinion, the best one there is after gold losing its steam.
Trading isn't for everyone and I'll also not advice anyone who doesn't have the required knowledge or apparatus for trading to jump into it just because there're lot of people cashing out dope profits, I hope trading enthusiasts who isn't up to the peak of bearing the market risks won't jump in conclusions that they also want to trade for a blindly greedy and ignorant mindset of making quick rich.
This geopolitical crisis and economy tensions should ignite foresights of what should be coming in the nearest future and begin to prepare now by investing on the long term because, as inflation has risen, don't be surprised that the high cost of goods and services had come to stay and those who don't have store of values assets will suffer it.
Note that this very dramatic chaotic events is what brought goods of $1 in the previous years to be $10 plus today. Learning about this attentively you'll have reasons to invest than trading in such state of conflicts.
I still put my focus on crypto to be honest. I don't have the time and energy to keep up and analyze various markets, especially when it looks like they're interconnected in one way or another. It doesn't help that no platform offers all of those in my country, so I'll have to use multiple platforms to do that, and it means more KYC and whatnot. With crypto at least, I know one or two channels that allow me to trade with little to no privacy footprint.
I just met an old friend who likes the stock market. He said he was getting some profits from the stock market in the ongoing war situation. But I don't have enough interest in the stock market. I have tried it a few times, although I made a little profit, I still returned to crypto trading. Right now, I don't have enough time to make an analysis for trading. I will trade occasionally, even though some friends also share their plans.
For those who saw it earlier, when the war broke out, oil would have been a very nice option to buy on the forex market and hold because rhe Middle East is known for oil and gas so any war there will disrupt that sector and produce unprecedented surge in price just as we have seen. I don't it is late to still do that because the war is not over and will not be over any time soon.
True, but people who are planning on going long now should be careful about the company they choose. This is mostly only profitable when the oil prices don't go beyond a certain level. When it increases beyond that level, the cost of oil may prevent people from buying, so even if the price is high, the sellers are not making much profit because of reduced sales.
A suggestion of mine is that people can also look into companies that offer alternative energy sources. When oil prices are high, people may look for other means of getting energy, and this may mean more output for those companies and more profit. However, from my analysis, the rising oil prices need to continue for a long time before we can see an effect on the alternative energy sectors.
AI and semiconductors should be going down if there's a war in Iran, right?
It makes no sense that these things would be green considering that they depend on lots of power to run, and that's generated by oil or LNG.
Oil and defense are the obvious plays, but Ive been keeping a close eye on the BTC/USD correlation during these geopolitical spikes. Interestingly, Bitcoin is increasingly acting as a "geopolitical hedge" alongside traditional gold. If the tensions escalate further, we might see a flight to quality that benefits decentralized assets. As for semiconductors, keep an eye on the supply chain risks if the Middle East situation affects global shipping routes, those AI and chip stocks might see some serious volatility regardless of their tech fundamentals.
I do not think that ignoring it would be that bad. I get that this is a "big war" for some peoples opinions, but we are in the bitcoin world, we buy when it goes down, and we hold as long as ew can, why change that? That is my personal way of trading, I buy when it goes down, and hold and wait for it to recover, then you can either sell if you are a trader, or keep holding if you are a long term investor.
Iran situation doesn't have to change because of this and we could do a lot better.