When do you guys think this bear market is gonna come to an end?
I just wanna keep it light, so let’s skip the no one knows how long it’ll last talk. Just throw out your guesses and let's see who gets it right.
The bear market will end when there's enough consolidation to push Bitcoin's price past levels it’s struggled with before. Basically, if Bitcoin spikes to $70,000, then moves to $75,000 and keeps climbing without dropping back below $70,000, that would be a sign. It could settle at a price a little lower than $70k but still above it, and then start climbing up again. That’s my take on what the end of a bear market looks like. Not saying Bitcoin can't dip below $60,000, though.
I suspect a replica of what happened in 2022. If this is used to judge Bitcoin (but with some factor of safety), between November and December is a good call.
Even if it falls lower, I would have started buying by then. Come What May.
I would prefer early 2027, if possible Q3 2027.
I only predict that throughout this year bitcoin will experience a bear market because it is estimated that this is just the beginning of entering this phase, and as there are many negative sentiments right now so it becomes stronger to lead to bearish.
Because this is just for fun, so it doesn't matter if my guess is wrong. Lol About the price drop below $60K it might happen but we don't know the month when this happens or indeed the lowest it is in the range of $63K.
For me, I think the price of Bitcoin might still go down, to a low price that we haven't experienced since the year began. The bear market may last throughout this year because, looking at history, the bear market has always lasted for some months.
I need to be specific with my guess; I will choose the month of December. But this guess would have been more fun for the lucky ones who will get the prediction right by the end of the bear market with some goodies. 😉
We just start the bear this year and i expect that this should last us to the end of the year, the bear is not what we should expect to only occur for a small period of time, instead, we should be able to wait and see how the market could react more and render advanced opportunities for as many that will be willing to buy the dip and hold before we are done with the bear market.
The length from the Bull Cycle Top to the Bear Cycle Bottom during the previous market cycles were about one year. The last Bull Cycle Top happened in October, 2025 so therefore the bottom for the current Bear Cycle will be during October, 2026.
This is NOT investment advice, this is merely [FOR FUN].
Before the bear market will finally comes to an end, Bitcoin might dip to $50k and could be around November or December, it's even possible it might be next year and when that happens, that when the market will start to go up again and won't go below the final bottom until the next bull cycle comes and go. The thing is, what bottom price will Bitcoin reach and when will that happen? Prince might keep going between $60k and $70k+ until next year before it hits a new low and then starts to pump again, these is just my speculation, I'm not an expert.
Since it's just for fun, we don't need to argue too much but just make our predictions. I will first vote for July, which, according to history, has always had a good win rate over bear markets in the past, and if July doesn't favor us this year, then we have to wait till the ending quarter of the year, the month of October, but the bear will end before the year comes to an end, and we won't cross over to 2027 under a bear market.
Bitcoin first hit all time high before halving this last bull run and then we proceeded in having small changes and failed expectations, so my guess is likely to happen around August and then from September we can start having a break from downity, thats my own guess but since bitcoin is now in a surprise streak I wouldnt be surprised if my guess fails too. Will wait to see what happens this time and will come back here to remind myself if it worked.
So if we make $70,000 our benchmark mark for prediction of the end of the bear market, that means we are going to be getting out of bear cycle very soon, because the last month of the 1st quarter is not expected to end with bitcoin remaining at below 70k that is right now, a lot is expected to change in the coming days at most before match 15th we should already see some positive indicators showing up for price recovering that will take us out of that region for the rest of the year, for me we are already out of the bear market already ending the match market on such positive short term indicators that we saw few hours ago.
It would be very hard to actually predict right when the bear market will be over, but we can still predict base on the market conditions and the view of the market now. As long as were in the bear market, I feel we would only see the end of this bear market by end of this year if at all, we may even see it span to early next year. The bearish trend is actually a long time in the market also. But based off what you explained in the OP, the market can start recovering by end of this year and will not trace back to some certain price again, not now or ever again. While we may see some coming back for retest, Im certain it would not be a price that bitcoin would reach in this bear market before the bullish market begins.
Yeah, this is just speculation of course and I would not want people to make bets about this. I agree with you completely. I think the bottom price of bitcoin during this bear phase will be hit during autumn of 2026, not sure if it will be October, I would not be shocked about September or November neither, like maybe late September or early November could be possible too.
But at the end of the day, we will keep falling until that moment and we will see the price keep crashing but then after it hits bottom then, it will keep going up. We should not be considering this to be that easy of a task because many fails to wait until then and keep selling and not even buy so that they could make a profit later on.
Bitcoin's current realized price is around $54k according to Coinglass(*). Looking at past trend reversals, Bitcoin would need to at least break below the realized price, then undergo a fairly long consolidation period of at least two months, even a year. If I had to guess, I'm 60% confident that the start of the bull market will occur as early as October of this year.
*) https://www.coinglass.com/pro/i/bitcoin-market-price-realized
If I'm not mistaken, the last cycle final capitulation for us was during the FTX collapse, so that's around November 2022. And then the halving was around April of 2024. So perhaps around that time as well if we are going to look at that history.
Next halving is mid-2028, so I will assume that in the last quarter of 2027, we might an event that that will trigger another massive collapse, then bullish sentiments start to appear in anticipation of the halving.
Honestly, no one knows for sure when the bearish trend will end. Everyone is analyzing based on past history, but if this is just for fun, i'm thinking about the last three months of 2027 or Q4 (October, November, December).
However, i'm not waiting until then to accumulate. Right now, i'm gradually starting to buy Bitcoin because in my opinion the current price is already cheap.
I have taken the Q4 (from October), that is to say by the first month of Q4 we would likely recover from the bearish market. Now, if you are judging based on the past market or let say few years ago we could see that during the ending of the Q4 the market always turned to bullish, and this could likely effect this year bear market. Although, things changes anyway, but I have to be optimistic about the market as there is always possibility for things to changes at any given time.
I like prolonged bear market because they give me more time to accumulate bitcoin at lower prices. Therefore, I voted that the bear market would end in early 2027, and if there were a later option, I would even choose it
Additionally, with the current decline of approximately 50%, I have started accumulating. But I expect Bitcoin could fall even further because the deeper Bitcoin fall, the easier it becomes to accumulate.
We are in a bear market, and I think everyone should take full advantage of this opportunity.
I have no specific but I want it to end as early as it can. If this drop that we have recently experienced is the bear for this cycle, much better. But with the usual time of when it ends, like in the Q4 or eoy. That's pretty much when the bear market will end. If the narrative changes, that would be it. No need for some extravagant explanation as to why it will end by that time. And our only basis is the 4 year cycle that we used to it already. We will see how the market will react with the current actions of US and Israel against Iran since the market has been so affected with geopolitics.
Based on history, the bear market will likely last until the end of the year. However, the market is maturing and has undergone some changes, and bitcoin is increasingly influenced by geopolitical and macroeconomic factor. I predict that the bear market will be shorter than before. If I had to predict, I think it would end in July or August. Of course, another thing that needed to be ensured was that the geopolitical situation at that time had to be stable
Or conversely, if geopolitical instability and widespread conflict continue, we could experience a longer than expected bear market.
Just my thoughts, maybe the end of this bearish trend will start to become visible at the end of Q3-beginning of Q4 this year. This could be a slower movement if Bitcoin falls below $60k. If the drop goes below $50k, there is a possibility that the market will experience a correction and a trend change early next year.
Although Bitcoin showed a short-term increase yesterday, we can see that currently the price has returned below $65k. It is possible that such a movement could repeat next month.