Are We Overlooking Energy Infrastructure Issues in Hormuz?

From February to April 2026, it seems like a ton of global energy infrastructure faced incidents all over the place oil refineries, energy facilities, terminals, and power plants were attacked or had accidents, and this all happened almost at once across four continents. We’re talking places like Russia, the Middle East, India, Myanmar, and Australia. Is it just bad luck or something more suspicious? Here’s a rundown of some key dates: - March 1: Esmeraldas Refinery in Ecuador - March 2: Ras Tanura oil refinery in Saudi Arabia - March 17: Olmeca Refinery in Mexico - March 18: South Par gas field & Asaluyeh oil refinery in Iran - March 23: Port Arthur oil refinery in the US - March 26: Kirishi oil Refinery in Russia - April 3: Novoshakhtinsk oil export terminal in Russia - April 8: Lavan oil refinery in Iran - April 9: Olmeca Refinery in Mexico - April 14: Chhattisgarh power plant in India - April 15: Geelong refinery in Australia - April 16: Tuapse oil refinery & terminal in Russia - April 20: Pachpradra Refinery in India - April 20: Rajasthan Refinery in India - April 20: CET Vest power plant in Romania - April 20: Tuapse oil refinery & terminal in Russia again - April 22: Erbil refinery in Iraq - April 23: Saudi Aramco oil refinery in Saudi Arabia - April 28: Tuapse oil refinery & terminal in Russia once more - April 30: Orsk Refinery in Russia What I’m getting at is that this might point to a ramp-up in an energy war, possible overload of the global system, or maybe some global elites are profiting from all this chaos. It raises the question, who’s really benefiting from it all? After these incidents, some intelligence experts are starting to connect the dots, suggesting this could be linked to covert operations by agencies like Mossad or the CIA, keeping US interests in check.

The entire conflict today is about energy, and this ongoing war between the United States and Israel against Iran is also related to energy, even if it appears to be about uranium or because Iran is a rogue state in the eyes of the United States, but in reality it is a conflict over energy in the Middle East region, which is the world’s main energy artery. I think it is difficult to believe that these incidents related to energy infrastructure around the world are merely coincidental, even though there is no evidence that they were deliberate. It is very easy to predict that the CIA has a hidden role in these incidents because the United States is the biggest beneficiary of all these incidents, being the largest producer of oil and benefiting from high prices. But I don't see what benefit the Israeli Mossad would gain from deliberated incidents?

Something that happens is not by chance because the current war speaks of the interests of escalating toward greater influence. Whether the Mossad or CIA's involvement in protecting US interests is real is perhaps the only answer for those competent in that field. However, if we draw a line between the two, the role of several global elites in this case is quite significant. When it comes to politics and escalating greater influence, perhaps much of what happened was premeditated and not coincidental. Manipulation of events may be difficult to prove, but a country seeking to control global interests, power, or economic growth requires careful preparation, so that chaos like now can be controlled according to their interests even though the results are different along the way. Energy sources are currently being fought over and perhaps not all countries have these sources, so influence is needed to achieve interests and I hope my assumption is wrong.

The coincidence is high and tempting to assuming that there is a deliberate sabotage of energy and other high-value assets in selected countries. I still want to believe that they are all natural incidence except those that happened in the Middle East that is being ravaged by war.   However, I will not rule out the possibilities of there being a deliberate plan to cause economic chaos because that is how global power are controlled. For now it is best to assume that there is no such thing yet and all we are reading are mere conspiracies.

Thanks for the statistics, but I wouldn’t lump them together like that-they’re similar but distinct events. I would divide them into several “subcategories” 1. Natural or man-made causes 2. Terrorism 3. Legitimate strikes against facilities and targets in the terrorist’s country Strikes on infrastructure in neighboring countries by Iran constitute terrorism (which fits perfectly with the classic definition of the term). It’s likely that some of the other listed targets could be attributed to similar actions by other parties, but I’m not ready to confirm that-I don’t have the information. Strikes on infrastructure in Russia are entirely legitimate strikes on the infrastructure of a terrorist state, since oil refineries are facilities that finance the terrorist war against Ukraine and supply fuel to the Russian terrorist army. Which is entirely LEGAL. It’s very interesting regarding the Mossad and the CIA-could you tell me which of the described targets were struck by them?

Truly most of us are focused on the US, Iran, war and the strait of Hormuz that is affecting global oil prices that we never noticed this underlying incidents of breakdown of oil infrastructures, I'm hearing about this developments for the first time on this thread. With the sequences that OP arranged the events we would seriously doubt that they are coincidence of similar oil facilities that broke down within the same period. As OP noted if it's not coincidence then who benefits from all the chaos and breakdowns? I will not point fingers except there is a fact to back it up but whatever the reasons are for someone or group to sabotage a facility that is servicing the public is not noble. I also know that any wars and conflicts that lingers on beyond certain periods that there are influential forces that are benefiting from it and it doesn't have to be among the waring parties.

You have raised some legitimate questions in your post that really need to be discussed. Like, all the attacks mentioned above on any form of energy plants are not a common thing; all these have happened in recent months. And why only attacks on oil and energy plants? This gives me a bad feeling that big hands have a big play role in all that, which is causing this industry to be under some kind of agenda and having a benefit by increasing their net worth in return from all this. Days ago, I was reading a piece of information about how all those open trades that hit so perfectly to TP, whether they have some inside news, or they must be involved in all this that in heppening these days. And in the recent time, Trump's net worth has also tripled, which is also a question mark here. Because the chances are higher that he is the most important player in all that, which helps him to increase his net worth after he becomes US president. We all know what kind of person Trump is. He has a clever business mindset that benefited him the most when the whole world and markets were facing bad days.

Although it cannot be proven and become a legal claim, but indeed the thought grows from the analysts of this war, what is happening in the Middle East is a game of the producers themselves, they try to reap as much money as possible from countries that are dependent on oil. The US has its own agenda, it can't be just because of the Uranium issue, it's just a diversion, or made as a title, but the most important plan is behind their table that has been well designed for their own interests.

You seem confused by something so simple? At least half of these appear to be Russian or in the Middle East. Trump just started a war in the Middle East a few weeks ago, if you can remember something so obvious. Iran attacked many refineries because their own were also hit. Russia was profiting off price rises due to this war so Ukraine rightly attacked their refineries and knocked them out of action, stopping that source of income which could be used to fund the war. I would also not put it past Ukraine to covertly attack Indian oil refineries either, because they are directly importing Russian oil and bypassing the blockade put on by all other civilized countries. The remaining ones like Mexico and Romania, if we go by just your evidence, could be random accidents or counter sabotage. Yes they all seem to be connected but some of the reasons are blatant.

I agree with you. I also believe that the issue of uranium enrichment is merely a smokescreen or pretext used by both the United States and Israel to serve their own secret agendas. We have a previous example when they accused Iraq of possessing weapons of mass destruction and occupied Iraq, and then years later they admitted, through Colin Powell (the Secretary of State at the time), that they had lied about Iraq. So yes, I think the United States and Israel have their own agendas and enriched uranium is just a pretext.

Those who are immune to this current energy war are those countries that are independent or control alternative energy supply. For countries that normally import energy products, there would be significant devaluation of the local currency because of the increased cost of importation. It is in this kind of scenario we see Bitcoin acting as a savior because it preserves purchasing power better than traditional local fiat currency, but only if it is accepted as digital gold rather than just another stock asset. Hence why the dollar is behind the scenes being made to become stronger among other currencies. Let's just forget about the talk of enriched uranium because it is just a cover up story to preserve self interest that these countries are after. ​

There are a lot if smokescreens trying to hide a number of geopolitical goals as such. The war on Iran is an attack on Chinas energy dependency, it started already with Venezuela, its also seen as a necessity to cripple Iran's government in order to further Israel's goal in achieving the "greater Israel" project. This was has been on the cards for 40 years, Netanyahu wanted this but couldnt influence any US president until now. The trouble is that they underestimated Iran's response and the effect on energy infrastructure and supply. Its funny - the strait of Hormuz was fully operational on the 27th of February, the day before the attack on Iran!

The idea has merit, but there are some caveats. Iran is not a key oil supplier to the market. Rather, it is not a key oil supplier to the Western world, but it is one of the key oil suppliers to China and Southeast Asia. If the U.S. were planning to drive up oil prices in this way to enable its oil companies to reap windfall profits,and this is a fact (the U.S. is the largest oil supplier to the market), then it would have been better to turn this operation into a major regional conflict, which would ultimately have caused major problems for all countries in the region. For example, following mutual destruction of oil infrastructure. But this is more in the realm of “giving China a hard time on the sly.” In this light, it will be interesting to see what Trump says to Xi during his visit, and how Xi responds?

This meeting appears to be a necessity for both the United States and China, according to the Wall Street Journal, and could be described as a meeting of need because the war is putting pressure on the global economy and Trump's political standing, raising fears of a Republican loss in the 2026 elections. Meanwhile, the Chinese ambassador described the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the resulting disruption to the energy market and global supply chains as a "disaster" for both China and the world. Therefore, according to the same newspaper, Trump needs China in a trade war he started and for which he sees no clear way out, and Xi needs to halt the disruption to energy and supply chains without appearing to yield to direct American pressure. In any case, no official statement has been issued from the summit yet; let's wait and see the results.

It’s foolish to deny that this meeting is necessary for only one party! Trump has a real problem with Iran-the quick special military operation didn’t work out, and there are plenty of issues, but Trump needs to rein in or replace the Iranian junta regime.  China needs the Middle East, and Iran was yet another "obedient appendage" through which China could reap not only economic but also geopolitical benefits in the region. Now the bargaining and exchange of "gifts" will begin. The U.S. will make concessions in some areas, and in response, China will make concessions in others. But most likely, they will "pay" for their agreements with entire countries and regions. These are already matters of geopolitics, not "local interests".

You are absolutely right, the great powers agree at the expense of the smaller dependent states and divide interests, spheres of influence, and interests regardless of the regional states. There are many outstanding issues between the United States and China that they can negotiate, such as Taiwan, tariffs, and Iran. It is certain that the United States and China will reach a mutually acceptable settlement at the expense of Taiwan and Iran.

Thanks for categorizing the incident , my purpose are highlighting the concentration of energy related incidents occurring close together in a short period of time across the world. I can understand argument regarding attack to Russia from Ukraine perspective, because practically terrrorism, legitimate strike and war crime often also influenced by geopolitical position and who dominates the global narrative.so the most important thing are sucessfully define infrastructure as amiilitary object and successfully controlling the global narrative regarding legitimation of an attack. Regarding your question, I am not saying there's evidence that MOSAD and CIA  attacked specific target  but some intelligence analyst and geopolitical observer begin link the pattern of global energy breakdown  to possible intelligence operation and proxy operations considering energy sector always be a strategic target during geopolitical war. But if those incident are part of intelligence operation, there almost never any open evidence, which show actual perpetrartor because its designed to create ambiguity and hard to prove it directly. I also feel the energy disruption infrastructure in recent month to significant to completely ignored but we also can not immediately conclude this is coordinated by particular party. Beside that in modern world many party exploiting same momentum for their own interest. So Trump part of parties who maange to gain significant profit from global volatility period, as a potus and political and financial elites, i think its very normal he get access to informtaion and read geopolitical trends faster than us. For me it is interesting to discuss because within short term period many energy infrastructure disruption happen around the globe. Even it has different reason but what we now experienced, it resulting oil and gasoline price increase, many country has start facing inflation pressure and supply chain stress. Geopolitical circumstance with full of uncertainty plus dependence of modern economy to energy infrastructure make it vulnerable, when energy infrastructure increasingly becomes a pressure point in geopolitical conflict. If it is happen continuously and instability will be persistent, we should worry about what will happen with global financial structure ? will fiat questioned by market and also its alternative ?

Thank you for your reply and clarification ! I agree, didn't quite get your suggestion about special services right ! But there is a simpler way, more precisely the concept of understanding the beneficiary of certain events. A small excursion into history: The Latin saying "Cui bono?" or "Cui prodest?" (who benefits?). The idea belongs to the ancient Roman jurist and consul Cassianus Longinus Ravilla, who recommended that judges look for benefits. This simple but very effective method allows you to effectively find customers and beneficiaries of a particular event.   Can we try to do it together?

They will benefit themselves, and make us be even worse. Just like how the rich is getting richer and we are getting poorer because of it, the nations are the same way. Like in this Iran situation, USA could tell China that they will share it with China, and China could be more powerful than others, but they will not stop USA in exchange of it. So all Chinese ships can pass, but no other ship can pass. This way China grows, USA grows but nobody else grows and they two become very big. This way when they do combine their forces on a subject like this, nobody could be doing anything great because only two will prevent it.