sunk cost bias is that thinking trap that keeps you holding onto an investment just because you've already poured in a lot of time and cash. a classic example is trading where a coin starts to tank but you hesitate to sell because you're worried about the losses from what you already invested. sometimes, it's way smarter to cut your losses and move on. this way, you stop further losses and open yourself up to find better investment opportunities.
stay clear of sunk cost bias
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I do not know the reason you posted this when bitcoin price is falling. You are right if the person invested on altcoins or shit projects be it crypto or non-crypto.
But if you are indirectly related this to bitcoin, just know that you are so wrong. Anyone that is having unrealized loss in bitcoin should not sell if they are planing not to sell the coin for a long period of time.
The bear market will be over and people that thought they are losing will make profit. They should buy more bitcoin instead.
wallethub179Senior Member
Posts: 36 · Reputation: 1752
#3Feb 26, 2020, 06:01 PM
The main reason for this problem is investing without a plan. If an exit strategy is already decided what percentage of loss will I get out or under what conditions will I hold then emotions work less. Most people make decisions during losses and that is when mistakes increase. Therefore deciding the exit before entry is a professional approach. The portfolio should be reviewed regularly. Each investment needs to be looked at separately. Investment should be based on logic and not on memory.
Taking action to avoid this fallacy is only done if you think the asset is going to go to hell. If you think the decline is due to the volatility of the asset and that in the long term it is bullish, it is stupid to think about it.
He probably doesn't own any Bitcoin.
From what I understand in this discussion , you're trying to say if someone wants to invest the person has to be smart enough to know when to move on or step back because the money you had in the past is only in the past, so there are decisions to take but it should be based on the future and not the one that will lead to regrets later after because what will actually save you losing your capital and give you a better opportunity is for you to let go and not just letting go, but you doing it at the right time
zerodev256Member
Posts: 39 · Reputation: 124
#6Feb 27, 2020, 03:01 AM
It is funny how we take advice from those people who might not own any Bitcoin.
It seems anyone can be an adviser online. I can also suggest whatever my gut feeling says. However, I don't think people follow their own suggestions. I see people suggest not doing something, yet they do it by themself. I think you have seen examples in reputation threads where people often criticize others and then do the same thing themselves. LOL. I am saying this because you were pretty active in that section a few months ago or provably a year ago.
This is one of the key skills that an investor needs to understand, implement and fine tune to truly become a master. Far too many people get extremely stubborn when it comes to any sort of trading or investment method, instead of conserving as much capital as possible and understanding that sometimes we make the wrong decisions, they hold on with a passion to assets that they should bail out on. There is no shame in admitting a mistake and it's often just lying to yourself if you refuse to face it. I'd rather take a 50% loss than a 90% or 100% loss if you think the basis for your original investment decision was flawed. Then again, if you truly believe in your original idea there is no shame in adding to the position if it drops because you might have been slightly off on the timing.
Thank you for this explanation because I never knew this behaviour is called sunk cost fallacy. It happened to me when I invested in agriculture. The price of our products dropped because of international competitors. But because of the amount I had spent on infrastructure, I kept investing. The best option was to stop the business and diversify into something else. I ended up losing so much money because I continued because of the amount I had already invested.
My experience has taught me to abandon any project or strategy if it becomes clear that discontinuation will be more beneficial. I have not invested much in altcoins, but I would not hesitate to sell them off if it becomes obvious that it is a pump-and-dump coin.
The point is this when you invest too much money, time, or effort in something, it becomes harder to make rational decisions. We don't sell because we don't want to regret it later. There have been many times I regretted not selling, but I've seen those experiences as lessons learned, and I try to apply them to my whole life now. If something isn't going well, it's best to let it go.
orbitone109Member
Posts: 417 · Reputation: 48
#10Feb 29, 2020, 05:28 AM
No investment comes risk free, so you must have some kind of threshold limit to sell them. But it depends on the asset we are talking about, if you are accumulating bitcoin then price drop should be considered as an opportunity to buy more rather than seeing it as a capital loss because most likely the price will recover sooner or later. But if you made up your mind then better exit and stick with banks and the useless interest rates.
Investing time and money into an industry relies on other factors like critical thinking, active decisions, and versatility. Volatile Industries shouldn't be left unchecked to do whatever it wants with your money, fewer times a week or monthly kind of observation is low, these risk games demand steady observation and thoughts, money has no reason to waste. Investors are obliged never to ease down on how often they narrate and criticize their investments to avoid collapse.
Lol if the OP has any experience it will be obvious that Bitcoin is not in the same category with sunk cost fallacy. The victims of this fallacy are those that gambles with altcoins.
Some who do have the sunk cost fallacy mentality has already made up their mind that it is all or nothing for them in that investment, if they are calculated they have already used an amount that they can afford to lose.
Thus happens almost to everyone in business and investment. It is usually difficult to accept failure and this mindset is a big huddle to overcome. It is a big problem because failure is not the end of life, it is allowed to happen and we must pay attention to take the lesson from the failure. Many successful businessmen in the world today failed at one point in time and they never gave up but kept starting all over again and today they are celebrated as successful entrepreneurs.
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